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PL815 · PL426

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NUTS-3 PL815 · Poland
Population
426,8942025
GDP
€5,192M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
5.3%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
76.8%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
5,638.5 km²
NUTS-3 PL426 · Poland
Population
330,1492025
GDP
€5,519M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
2.9%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
77.1%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
4,371.4 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Koszaliński (Opportunity 37). Runner-up: Puławski (36). Contrarian pick: Puławski — leads the set on Cost advantage (EU pctl 92).

Strengths
Cost advantage (88) · Energy cost (79)
Red flags
Connectivity (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Cost advantage (92) · Energy cost (79)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Air quality (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Koszaliński
Connectivity (EU bottom 15%); Governance (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Connectivity (EU pctl 14) — Puławski may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Koszaliński leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
35.6
36.6
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
32.0
28.0
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
27.5
38.8
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
13.5
41.0
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
33.7
13.7
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
48.5
46.0
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
56.0
63.4

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
2.4% 5y
3.5% 5y
Population
1.9% 5y
1.1% 5y
Unemployment rate
1.1% 5y
6.9% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€12,163
€16,717
Population density
76 /km²
76 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 87 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€4,692M
€4,987M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€351M
€188M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€981M
€1,206M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€816M
€834M
GVA — construction (F)
€419M
€476M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€1,268M
€1,301M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€10,500
€11,200
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
17,400 PPS
23,800 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€11,800
€16,100
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€5,181M
€5,453M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€820M
€756M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€10,585M
€9,982M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€707M
€705M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€966M
€1,110M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€4,661M
€4,734M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€33,689
€44,415
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€1,160M
€1,323M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
194,000
154,400
Self-employed persons
68,500
28,100
Employment in manufacturing (C)
30,800
28,800
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
74.5%
73.3%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
21.1%
10.5%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
5.2%
2.8%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
202,200
154,700
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
22,548
25,056
Enterprise births
2,434
2,937
Enterprise deaths
3,015
4,161
3-year enterprise survival rate
5.9%
5.2%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.4%
0.8%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
2.7%
3.4%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.9%
0.5%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
37.4%
38.5%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
42.5%
40.7%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
10.2%
6.9%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
24.9%
26.0%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
7.2%
8.9%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
93.9%
95.8%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
722,442
9,183,491
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
647 /1k
599 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
9,503 kt
8,500 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
45
47
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
0 km/1000km²
1 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
11
14
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
47
107
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
0
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
268,104
209,323
Population aged 65+
97,924
76,093
Population aged under 15
60,866
44,733
Median age of population
44.9 yrs
45.3 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
36.5%
36.4%
Crude rate of total population change
-10.2 /1k
-4.2 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
-4.6 /1k
1.9 /1k
Crude birth rate
6.4 /1k
5.9 /1k
Crude death rate
12.1 /1k
12.0 /1k
Live births
2,754
1,958
Deaths
5,171
3,976
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
59.2%
57.7%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.18
1.07
Population density (persons per km²)
77 /km²
77 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
261,148
228,839
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
18.0%
15.3%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
78.6 yrs
77.9 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
15.9%
12.9%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
621 /100k
1,257 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,560 /100k
1,526 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
252 /100k
288 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.9 /100k
0.3 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
5.8 /100k
7.2 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
50.3 /100k
167 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
86.0 /100k
256 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
61 /M
62 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.52
0.52
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.69
0.69
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.35
0.35
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.67
0.67
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.54
0.54
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.113/kWh
€0.113/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.064/kWh
€0.064/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
155 m
36 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
7 days/yr
3 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
85 days/yr
57 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
2 days/yr
3 days/yr