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PL812 · PL815

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NUTS-3 PL812 · Poland
Population
543,0812025
GDP
€6,141M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
5.3%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
76.8%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
9,290.5 km²
NUTS-3 PL815 · Poland
Population
426,8942025
GDP
€5,192M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
5.3%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
76.8%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
5,638.5 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Puławski (Opportunity 36). Runner-up: Chełmsko-zamojski (35). Contrarian pick: Chełmsko-zamojski — leads the set on Freight intensity (EU pctl 70).

Strengths
Cost advantage (92) · Energy cost (79)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Air quality (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Cost advantage (92) · Energy cost (79)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Puławski
Economic base (EU bottom 15%); Governance (EU bottom 15%); Air quality (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Economic base (EU pctl 4) — Chełmsko-zamojski may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: LogisticsChełmsko-zamojski · ManufacturingChełmsko-zamojski · OfficePuławski · ResidentialChełmsko-zamojski.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
35.4
35.6
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
33.3
32.0
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
32.5
27.5
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
34.3
13.5
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
22.3
33.7
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
48.5
48.5
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
59.0
56.0

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
3.7% 5y
2.4% 5y
Population
2.3% 5y
1.9% 5y
Unemployment rate
4.3% 5y
1.1% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€11,308
€12,163
Population density
58 /km²
76 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 87 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€5,549M
€4,692M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€591M
€351M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€962M
€981M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€801M
€816M
GVA — construction (F)
€342M
€419M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€1,353M
€1,268M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€10,500
€10,500
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
16,200 PPS
17,400 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€11,000
€11,800
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€5,181M
€5,181M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€820M
€820M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€10,585M
€10,585M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€868M
€707M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€1,432M
€966M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€5,513M
€4,661M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€36,463
€33,689
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€1,372M
€1,160M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
212,000
194,000
Self-employed persons
74,500
68,500
Employment in manufacturing (C)
26,200
30,800
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
74.5%
74.5%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
21.1%
21.1%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
5.3%
5.2%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
258,900
202,200
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
26,337
22,548
Enterprise births
2,982
2,434
Enterprise deaths
3,855
3,015
3-year enterprise survival rate
6.1%
5.9%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.4%
1.4%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
2.7%
2.7%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.9%
0.9%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
37.4%
37.4%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
42.5%
42.5%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
10.2%
10.2%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
24.9%
24.9%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
7.2%
7.2%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
93.9%
93.9%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
542,849
722,442
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
647 /1k
647 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
20,772 kt
9,503 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
54
45
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
0 km/1000km²
0 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
10
11
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
63
47
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
343,353
268,104
Population aged 65+
129,254
97,924
Population aged under 15
70,474
60,866
Median age of population
46.0 yrs
44.9 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
37.6%
36.5%
Crude rate of total population change
-11.4 /1k
-10.2 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
-4.6 /1k
-4.6 /1k
Crude birth rate
5.5 /1k
6.4 /1k
Crude death rate
12.3 /1k
12.1 /1k
Live births
3,012
2,754
Deaths
6,703
5,171
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
58.2%
59.2%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.03
1.18
Population density (persons per km²)
59 /km²
77 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
293,975
261,148
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
18.0%
18.0%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
78.6 yrs
78.6 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
15.9%
15.9%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
621 /100k
621 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,560 /100k
1,560 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
252 /100k
252 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.2 /100k
0.9 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
5.6 /100k
5.8 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
74.5 /100k
50.3 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
67.4 /100k
86.0 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
61 /M
61 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.52
0.52
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.69
0.69
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.35
0.35
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.67
0.67
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.54
0.54
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.113/kWh
€0.113/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.064/kWh
€0.064/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
289 m
155 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
6 days/yr
7 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
96 days/yr
85 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
3 days/yr
2 days/yr