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PL616 · PL411

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NUTS-3 PL616 · Poland
Population
356,0762025
GDP
€5,227M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
4.1%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
78.6%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
4,049.6 km²
NUTS-3 PL411 · Poland
Population
380,3102025
GDP
€5,685M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
2.8%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
79.8%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
6,453.7 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Pilski (Opportunity 37). Runner-up: Grudziądzki (36). Contrarian pick: Grudziądzki — leads the set on Cost advantage (EU pctl 91).

Strengths
Cost advantage (85) · Industrial base (85)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Cost advantage (91) · Industrial base (83)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Air quality (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Pilski
Economic base (EU bottom 15%); Governance (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Economic base (EU pctl 12) — Grudziądzki may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Pilski leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
36.3
36.9
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
26.5
37.0
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
30.5
42.1
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
11.0
47.0
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
16.0
23.0
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
33.5
35.5
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
56.6
48.6

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
4.0% 5y
2.8% 5y
Population
1.4% 5y
1.2% 5y
Unemployment rate
1.6% 5y
2.3% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€14,678
€14,947
Population density
88 /km²
59 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 86 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€4,723M
€5,137M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€355M
€517M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€1,477M
€1,625M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€1,301M
€1,465M
GVA — construction (F)
€342M
€331M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€1,254M
€1,052M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€10,900
€11,800
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
21,200 PPS
21,600 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€14,400
€14,600
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€5,384M
€12,125M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€1,236M
€2,853M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€12,111M
€27,656M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€492M
€703M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€803M
€908M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€4,552M
€4,906M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€42,169
€44,850
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€1,045M
€1,095M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
152,200
156,300
Self-employed persons
40,700
36,100
Employment in manufacturing (C)
37,600
40,500
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
75.2%
76.0%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
15.8%
8.7%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
4.0%
2.8%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
173,700
187,800
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
18,972
23,782
Enterprise births
2,098
2,287
Enterprise deaths
2,545
3,041
3-year enterprise survival rate
5.4%
5.1%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
0.8%
1.1%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.4%
2.9%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.7%
0.7%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
31.9%
34.7%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
32.3%
42.1%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
10.1%
6.4%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
21.6%
22.8%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
7.0%
7.2%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
96.0%
97.8%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
313,657
259,154
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
613 /1k
667 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
16,478 kt
16,837 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
36
54
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
9 km/1000km²
7 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
10
14
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
129
78
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
0
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
229,632
245,933
Population aged 65+
73,105
77,172
Population aged under 15
53,339
57,205
Median age of population
43.4 yrs
43.2 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
31.8%
31.4%
Crude rate of total population change
-7.2 /1k
-5.8 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
-2.4 /1k
-1.6 /1k
Crude birth rate
6.5 /1k
6.7 /1k
Crude death rate
11.2 /1k
10.9 /1k
Live births
2,314
2,569
Deaths
4,006
4,157
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
55.1%
54.6%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.13
1.18
Population density (persons per km²)
90 /km²
60 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
253,105
270,668
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
21.4%
17.0%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
78.2 yrs
78.5 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
19.3%
15.4%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
959 /100k
446 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,562 /100k
1,508 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
294 /100k
284 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.3 /100k
0.8 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
15.1 /100k
8.1 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
162 /100k
143 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
201 /100k
115 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
65 /M
62 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.52
0.52
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.69
0.69
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.35
0.35
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.67
0.67
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.54
0.54
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.113/kWh
€0.113/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.064/kWh
€0.064/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
104 m
103 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
5 days/yr
8 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
86 days/yr
79 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
1 days/yr
2 days/yr