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LT022 · PL225

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NUTS-3 LT022 · Lithuania
Population
587,5112025
GDP
€15,856M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
7.8%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
77.7%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
8,093.7 km²
NUTS-3 PL225 · Poland
Population
638,0222025
GDP
€12,361M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
2.6%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
77%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
2,352.4 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Bielski (Opportunity 53). Runner-up: Kauno apskritis (52). Contrarian pick: Kauno apskritis — leads the set on Growth momentum (EU pctl 81).

Strengths
Industrial base (90) · Cost advantage (82)
Red flags
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Growth momentum (81) · Cost advantage (80)
Red flags
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%)
Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Bielski
Governance (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Governance (EU pctl 14) — Kauno apskritis may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: LogisticsKauno apskritis · ManufacturingKauno apskritis · OfficeBielski · ResidentialBielski.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
51.7
52.8
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
46.8
22.3
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
32.3
40.9
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
29.7
15.0
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
58.3
33.3
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
66.3
56.5
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
81.4
62.4

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
3.0% 5y
3.0% 5y
Population
0.7% 5y
0.7% 5y
Unemployment rate
2.4% 5y
0.8% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€26,988
€19,374
Population density
73 /km²
271 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 89 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€14,200M
€11,169M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€283M
€109M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€2,957M
€3,886M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€2,699M
€3,536M
GVA — construction (F)
€1,270M
€862M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€4,865M
€2,725M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€14,200
€12,700
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
34,500 PPS
27,600 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€27,000
€18,700
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€10,284M
€14,344M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€1,567M
€4,197M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€21,259M
€36,613M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€974M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€544M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€2,226M
€1,823M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€2,599M
€1,764M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€11,938M
€10,384M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€53,826
€50,084
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€4,158M
€2,334M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
316,480
297,800
Self-employed persons
36,970
42,400
Employment in manufacturing (C)
56,940
86,000
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
78.7%
73.1%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
15.5%
9.3%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
7.7%
2.6%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
307,100
299,500
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
74,050
50,189
Enterprise births
14,697
4,955
Enterprise deaths
11,976
6,226
3-year enterprise survival rate
6.1%
5.2%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
0.7%
1.0%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
2.9%
5.2%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.6%
0.8%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
42.7%
38.4%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
52.3%
43.1%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
9.4%
6.3%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
26.8%
28.5%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
9.7%
10.8%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
87.8%
96.1%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
1,485,242
3,196,024
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
611 /1k
602 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
11,402 kt
16,139 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
2,845
136
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
7 km/1000km²
21 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
484
21
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
5
65
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
2
3
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
379,049
406,467
Population aged 65+
123,890
134,479
Population aged under 15
84,572
97,076
Median age of population
43.7 yrs
43.8 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
32.7%
33.1%
Crude rate of total population change
3.5 /1k
-4.6 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
8.8 /1k
0.4 /1k
Crude birth rate
7.2 /1k
6.4 /1k
Crude death rate
12.5 /1k
11.4 /1k
Live births
4,240
4,111
Deaths
7,330
7,320
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
55.0%
57.0%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.16
1.13
Population density (persons per km²)
75 /km²
277 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
341,663
542,016
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
30.7%
10.0%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
77.2 yrs
78.0 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
26.2%
7.8%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
511 /100k
611 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,630 /100k
1,544 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
259 /100k
295 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
1.9 /100k
0.3 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
11.3 /100k
11.1 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
23.6 /100k
122 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
480 /100k
224 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
49 /M
30 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.94
0.52
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.19
0.69
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.23
0.35
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.86
0.67
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.96
0.54
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.136/kWh
€0.113/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.050/kWh
€0.064/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
96 m
425 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
4 days/yr
3 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
101 days/yr
98 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
3 days/yr
8 days/yr