NUTS-3 ITI32 · Italy
Population
461,5032025
GDP
€16,215M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
5.1%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
72.9%2025
Active firms· FR-only
—
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
—
Area
1,962.6 km²
TerraSight · Compare
2 regions side-by-side
ITI32 · ITH58
Decision brief
Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity
Best overall fit: Forlì-Cesena (Opportunity 55). Runner-up: Ancona (48). Contrarian pick: Ancona — leads the set on Industrial base (EU pctl 73).
#2Ancona
Strengths
Industrial base (73) · Cost advantage (64)
Red flags
Air quality (EU bottom 15%)
Long-run slide: down 20 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Why you might not pick Forlì-Cesena
Its weakest dimension is Governance (EU pctl 20) — Ancona may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Forlì-Cesena leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
- Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
- Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
- Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
- Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics
This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.
Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores
Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
47.5
54.6
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
47.0
58.0
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
38.0
50.9
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
12.0
—
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
25.7
38.3
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
24.0
34.3
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
38.0
43.4
Trajectories · 2012–latest
Real GDP (2020 prices)
2.0% 5y
2.6% 5y
Population
0.3% 5y
0.1% 5y
Unemployment rate
9.2% 5y
5.0% 5y
Derived comparisons
GDP per capita
€35,136
€39,683
Population density
235 /km²
166 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
All indicators · 88 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)
Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€14,567M
€14,023M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€173M
€567M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€3,638M
€3,497M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€3,406M
€3,078M
GVA — construction (F)
€835M
€893M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€3,283M
€3,133M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€21,600
€25,400
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
36,500 PPS
41,300 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€35,100
€39,800
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€11,341M
€45,497M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€1,925M
€12,104M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€19,218M
€74,553M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€1,630M
€2,016M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€360M
€207M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€3,574M
€3,722M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€3,061M
€2,210M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€14,708M
€14,119M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€76,266
€83,708
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€3,783M
€3,711M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
218,800
192,100
Self-employed persons
47,200
45,200
Employment in manufacturing (C)
46,100
37,700
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
71.3%
74.5%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
21.2%
17.4%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
5.0%
4.1%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
214,300
188,800
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
35,910
33,277
Enterprise births
2,380
2,117
Enterprise deaths
2,010
1,891
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.6%
3.7%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
0.9%
2.1%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
2.5%
3.8%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.0%
2.1%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
24.9%
25.3%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
32.8%
36.2%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
10.5%
13.1%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
17.3%
19.2%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
5.2%
5.3%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
94.6%
96.2%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
3,428,287
5,803,947
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
718 /1k
691 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
8,730 kt
9,712 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
11
8
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
2
2
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
20 km/1000km²
31 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
72
46
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
2
3
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
287,269
246,581
Population aged 65+
122,253
100,393
Population aged under 15
51,981
46,393
Median age of population
50.0 yrs
49.6 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
42.6%
40.7%
Crude rate of total population change
-0.3 /1k
1.4 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
5.8 /1k
6.6 /1k
Crude birth rate
5.5 /1k
5.9 /1k
Crude death rate
11.6 /1k
11.2 /1k
Live births
2,524
2,335
Deaths
5,340
4,383
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
60.7%
59.5%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.10
1.17
Population density (persons per km²)
236 /km²
165 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
372,307
388,360
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
13.9%
8.2%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
84.4 yrs
84.3 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
12.0%
6.7%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
284 /100k
369 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
865 /100k
860 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
199 /100k
212 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.9 /100k
0.0 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
22.1 /100k
35.5 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
562 /100k
1,124 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
49 /M
61 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.72
0.72
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.60
0.60
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.41
0.41
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.159/kWh
€0.159/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
79 m
363 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
53 days/yr
35 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
6 days/yr
30 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
9 days/yr
10 days/yr