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ITF45 · ITI32

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NUTS-3 ITF45 · Italy
Population
764,4912025
GDP
€16,848M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
10%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
55.2%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
2,762 km²
NUTS-3 ITI32 · Italy
Population
461,5032025
GDP
€16,215M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
5.1%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
72.9%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
1,962.6 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Ancona (Opportunity 48). Runner-up: Lecce (44). Contrarian pick: Lecce — leads the set on Cost advantage (EU pctl 70).

Strengths
Industrial base (73) · Cost advantage (64)
Red flags
Air quality (EU bottom 15%)
Long-run slide: down 20 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Strengths
Cost advantage (70) · Growth momentum (54)
Red flags
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Talent & skills (EU bottom 15%)
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%)
Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Ancona
Air quality (EU bottom 15%); Long-run slide: down 20 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute). Its weakest dimension is Air quality (EU pctl 12) — Lecce may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Ancona leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
43.9
47.5
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
36.0
47.0
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
29.3
38.0
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
30.7
12.0
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
28.7
25.7
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
12.0
24.0
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
54.2
38.0

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
3.6% 5y
2.0% 5y
Population
0.5% 5y
0.3% 5y
Unemployment rate
8.4% 5y
9.2% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€22,038
€35,136
Population density
277 /km²
235 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 88 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€15,135M
€14,567M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€363M
€173M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€1,831M
€3,638M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€1,470M
€3,406M
GVA — construction (F)
€1,207M
€835M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€3,572M
€3,283M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€17,200
€21,600
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
22,700 PPS
36,500 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€21,900
€35,100
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€21,133M
€11,341M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€1,693M
€1,925M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€36,660M
€19,218M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€2,160M
€1,630M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€237M
€360M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€4,257M
€3,574M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€3,905M
€3,061M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€15,309M
€14,708M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€62,062
€76,266
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€3,923M
€3,783M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
280,000
218,800
Self-employed persons
78,700
47,200
Employment in manufacturing (C)
30,500
46,100
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
56.8%
71.3%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
32.6%
21.2%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
10.0%
5.0%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
279,800
214,300
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
59,163
35,910
Enterprise births
4,782
2,380
Enterprise deaths
3,365
2,010
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.4%
3.6%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
0.8%
0.9%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
2.6%
2.5%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.8%
1.0%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
18.5%
24.9%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
27.8%
32.8%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
8.2%
10.5%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
17.2%
17.3%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
4.6%
5.2%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
91.5%
94.6%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
7,496,488
3,428,287
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
649 /1k
718 /1k
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
358
11
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
2,811 kt
8,730 kt
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
47
2
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
16 km/1000km²
20 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
59
72
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
2
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
476,361
287,269
Population aged 65+
202,877
122,253
Population aged under 15
85,253
51,981
Median age of population
50.0 yrs
50.0 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
42.6%
42.6%
Crude rate of total population change
-3.6 /1k
-0.3 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
2.6 /1k
5.8 /1k
Crude birth rate
5.9 /1k
5.5 /1k
Crude death rate
12.1 /1k
11.6 /1k
Live births
4,520
2,524
Deaths
9,256
5,340
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
60.5%
60.7%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.13
1.10
Population density (persons per km²)
275 /km²
236 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
542,247
372,307
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
35.0%
13.9%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
83.5 yrs
84.4 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
27.6%
12.0%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
274 /100k
284 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
946 /100k
865 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
211 /100k
199 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.5 /100k
0.9 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
12.5 /100k
22.1 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
796 /100k
562 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
62 /M
49 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.72
0.72
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.60
0.60
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.41
0.41
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.159/kWh
€0.159/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
89 m
79 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
69 days/yr
53 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
2 days/yr
6 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
7 days/yr
9 days/yr