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ITF22 · ITC17

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NUTS-3 ITF22 · Italy
Population
209,0592025
GDP
€5,717M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
6.2%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
62.3%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
2,914.1 km²
NUTS-3 ITC17 · Italy
Population
207,2032025
GDP
€6,292M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
6%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
74.3%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
1,515.4 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Asti (Opportunity 45). Runner-up: Campobasso (35). Contrarian pick: Campobasso — leads the set on Cost advantage (EU pctl 68).

Strengths
Industrial base (65) · Cost advantage (51)
Red flags
Long-run slide: down 23 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Strengths
Cost advantage (68) · Energy cost (46)
Red flags
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%)
Long-run slide: down 15 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Why you might not pick Asti
Long-run slide: down 23 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute). Its weakest dimension is Talent & skills (EU pctl 18) — Campobasso may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Asti leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
34.9
44.8
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
44.5
44.8
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
28.8
41.7
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
19.0
44.7
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
18.3
18.0
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
39.6
35.6

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
2.3% 5y
1.9% 5y
Population
0.8% 5y
0.5% 5y
Unemployment rate
7.6% 5y
3.8% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€27,347
€30,364
Population density
72 /km²
137 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 87 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€5,136M
€5,652M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€317M
€189M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€850M
€1,286M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€721M
€1,165M
GVA — construction (F)
€370M
€408M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€1,033M
€1,114M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€18,300
€24,400
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
28,200 PPS
31,400 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€27,200
€30,300
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€2,059M
€44,851M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€145M
€10,323M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€2,725M
€61,911M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€687M
€872M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€129M
€62M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€1,246M
€1,655M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€1,321M
€1,000M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€5,131M
€5,765M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€72,976
€76,631
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€1,518M
€1,802M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
80,000
83,400
Self-employed persons
23,300
24,200
Employment in manufacturing (C)
9,900
15,300
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
61.8%
73.5%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
39.8%
19.3%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
6.2%
6.0%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
83,600
95,500
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
15,041
15,775
Enterprise births
1,168
1,066
Enterprise deaths
824
931
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.0%
3.6%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
0.8%
2.1%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
2.2%
3.6%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.9%
1.6%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
22.1%
21.2%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
27.6%
29.3%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
11.2%
10.0%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
16.8%
16.0%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
3.5%
5.0%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
91.1%
93.9%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
383,117
581,651
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
767 /1k
723 /1k
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
2
241
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
4,063 kt
4,061 kt
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
1
116
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
8 km/1000km²
36 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
96
60
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
3
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
130,834
126,921
Population aged 65+
56,457
57,390
Population aged under 15
21,768
22,892
Median age of population
50.6 yrs
51.2 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
43.2%
45.2%
Crude rate of total population change
-4.4 /1k
-0.2 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
3.4 /1k
7.0 /1k
Crude birth rate
5.4 /1k
5.9 /1k
Crude death rate
13.3 /1k
13.0 /1k
Live births
1,139
1,213
Deaths
2,782
2,695
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
59.8%
63.3%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.05
1.22
Population density (persons per km²)
72 /km²
138 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
146,228
155,760
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
22.8%
16.9%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
82.7 yrs
83.7 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
17.5%
14.0%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
305 /100k
353 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
973 /100k
892 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
197 /100k
228 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.5 /100k
1.0 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
15.7 /100k
18.3 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
789 /100k
659 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
42 /M
40 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.72
0.72
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.60
0.60
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.41
0.41
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.159/kWh
€0.159/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
582 m
208 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
28 days/yr
45 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
23 days/yr
52 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
9 days/yr
11 days/yr