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ITF13 · ES432

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NUTS-3 ITF13 · Italy
Population
311,8762025
GDP
€9,401M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
6.5%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
67.2%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
1,227.1 km²
NUTS-3 ES432 · Spain
Population
388,1902025
GDP
€10,266M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
14.8%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
66.9%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
19,862.4 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Cáceres (Opportunity 46). Runner-up: Pescara (44). Contrarian pick: Pescara — leads the set on Demographic outlook (EU pctl 70).

Strengths
Energy cost (95) · Cost advantage (77)
Red flags
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%)
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Connectivity (EU bottom 15%)
Industrial base (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Demographic outlook (70) · Cost advantage (66)
Red flags
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Flood: 20% of population in the 100-year floodplain
Long-run slide: down 23 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Why you might not pick Cáceres
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%); Labour market (EU bottom 15%); Connectivity (EU bottom 15%); Industrial base (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Connectivity (EU pctl 6) — Pescara may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: LogisticsPescara · ManufacturingCáceres · OfficeCáceres · ResidentialPescara.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics
  • Flood defences, return-period design and insurance for flagged regions

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
43.9
45.6
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
43.5
39.5
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
35.0
46.1
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
76.0
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
42.7
5.7
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
26.0
51.3
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
42.6
67.4

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
3.3% 5y
4.0% 5y
Population
0.3% 5y
0.2% 5y
Unemployment rate
7.5% 5y
6.6% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€30,142
€26,445
Population density
254 /km²
20 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 89 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€8,445M
€9,368M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€154M
€827M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€1,340M
€2,413M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€1,162M
€486M
GVA — construction (F)
€589M
€700M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€1,915M
€1,453M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€19,700
€15,200
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
31,200 PPS
29,700 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€30,100
€26,400
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€10,710M
€4,835M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€1,609M
€488M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€14,889M
€11,520M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€1,174M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€191M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€2,431M
€1,502M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€2,017M
€2,473M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€8,606M
€9,131M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€76,056
€74,267
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€2,586M
€2,235M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
127,500
148,000
Self-employed persons
34,800
29,600
Employment in manufacturing (C)
14,500
9,300
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
67.0%
72.7%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
26.5%
37.4%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
6.5%
14.7%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
135,500
181,300
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
27,508
25,647
Enterprise births
2,145
1,983
Enterprise deaths
1,581
1,972
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.5%
3.6%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.1%
0.7%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.2%
2.2%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.9%
0.5%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
24.6%
34.5%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
32.5%
49.6%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
10.5%
14.8%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
19.5%
20.0%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
4.6%
6.6%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
93.9%
96.5%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
1,555,862
2,427,859
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
728 /1k
631 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
4,171 kt
7,993 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
3
10
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
34 km/1000km²
17 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
1
3
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
23
233
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
0
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
196,177
246,262
Population aged 65+
78,779
98,462
Population aged under 15
36,920
43,466
Median age of population
49.6 yrs
49.7 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
40.2%
40.0%
Crude rate of total population change
-1.2 /1k
-1.2 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
4.6 /1k
5.2 /1k
Crude birth rate
5.8 /1k
5.6 /1k
Crude death rate
11.6 /1k
12.0 /1k
Live births
1,821
2,173
Deaths
3,620
4,646
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
59.0%
57.6%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.12
1.09
Population density (persons per km²)
254 /km²
20 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
258,723
214,658
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
24.7%
30.4%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
83.8 yrs
83.2 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
20.0%
26.2%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
332 /100k
343 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
893 /100k
925 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
206 /100k
213 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.6 /100k
0.8 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
33.3 /100k
19.3 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
180 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
1,305 /100k
116 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
68 /M
42 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.72
1.14
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.60
0.84
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.96
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.78
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.41
0.16
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.159/kWh
€0.106/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
202 m
376 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
41 days/yr
82 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
18 days/yr
7 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
10 days/yr
5 days/yr