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ITF12 · ITF63

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NUTS-3 ITF12 · Italy
Population
300,0492025
GDP
€9,236M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
6.5%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
67.2%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
1,956.9 km²
NUTS-3 ITF63 · Italy
Population
339,7412025
GDP
€8,227M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
9.8%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
50.3%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
2,404.3 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Teramo (Opportunity 46). Runner-up: Catanzaro (36). Contrarian pick: Catanzaro — leads the set on Cost advantage (EU pctl 72).

Strengths
Demographic outlook (75) · Industrial base (69)
Red flags
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%)
Long-run slide: down 17 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Strengths
Cost advantage (72) · Energy cost (46)
Red flags
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Talent & skills (EU bottom 15%)
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%)
Industrial base (EU bottom 15%)
Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Teramo
Labour market (EU bottom 15%); Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%); Long-run slide: down 17 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute). Its weakest dimension is Labour market (EU pctl 7) — Catanzaro may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Teramo leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
46.4
36.0
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
49.0
30.5
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
35.3
39.0
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
35.7
45.3
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
26.0
13.0
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
55.4
43.0

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
4.3% 5y
2.5% 5y
Population
0.3% 5y
0.6% 5y
Unemployment rate
7.2% 5y
13.0% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€30,781
€24,217
Population density
153 /km²
141 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 87 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€8,297M
€7,391M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€200M
€339M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€1,990M
€639M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€1,821M
€314M
GVA — construction (F)
€856M
€504M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€1,539M
€1,726M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€19,700
€16,400
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
32,000 PPS
25,000 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€30,900
€24,100
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€10,710M
€8,676M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€1,609M
€460M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€14,889M
€14,341M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€1,136M
€984M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€107M
€148M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€2,161M
€1,832M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€1,550M
€2,349M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€8,455M
€7,464M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€72,506
€66,860
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€2,541M
€1,856M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
131,400
126,800
Self-employed persons
32,300
33,100
Employment in manufacturing (C)
28,000
6,100
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
67.0%
51.7%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
26.5%
28.1%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
6.6%
9.9%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
131,000
114,600
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
24,566
22,953
Enterprise births
1,777
2,043
Enterprise deaths
1,343
1,314
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.9%
4.4%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.1%
0.6%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.2%
1.3%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.9%
0.5%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
24.6%
18.6%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
32.5%
25.7%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
10.5%
9.2%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
19.5%
16.1%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
4.6%
4.7%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
93.9%
88.0%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
3,881,588
1,383,872
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
728 /1k
750 /1k
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
14
935
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
3,884 kt
2,943 kt
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
5
275
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
34 km/1000km²
19 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
47
18
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
189,610
213,018
Population aged 65+
75,900
85,340
Population aged under 15
34,539
41,383
Median age of population
49.6 yrs
48.6 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
40.0%
40.1%
Crude rate of total population change
2.6 /1k
-2.7 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
8.1 /1k
2.0 /1k
Crude birth rate
5.8 /1k
6.6 /1k
Crude death rate
11.3 /1k
11.3 /1k
Live births
1,744
2,234
Deaths
3,392
3,829
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
58.2%
59.5%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.11
1.19
Population density (persons per km²)
153 /km²
141 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
255,555
235,235
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
24.7%
45.3%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
83.8 yrs
82.7 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
20.0%
32.8%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
332 /100k
256 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
893 /100k
968 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
206 /100k
204 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.0 /100k
0.3 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
15.0 /100k
5.3 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
887 /100k
729 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
68 /M
52 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.72
0.72
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.60
0.60
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.41
0.41
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.159/kWh
€0.159/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
286 m
362 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
30 days/yr
34 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
24 days/yr
5 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
11 days/yr
7 days/yr