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ITC49 · ITG15

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NUTS-3 ITC49 · Italy
Population
230,2502025
GDP
€7,489M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
75.1%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
784.2 km²
NUTS-3 ITG15 · Italy
Population
245,4212025
GDP
€5,072M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
12.2%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
51.4%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
2,135.1 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Lodi (Opportunity 56). Runner-up: Caltanissetta (33). Contrarian pick: Caltanissetta — leads the set on Cost advantage (EU pctl 71).

Strengths
Demographic outlook (80) · Industrial base (68)
Red flags
Long-run slide: down 33 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Strengths
Cost advantage (71) · Growth momentum (52)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Talent & skills (EU bottom 15%)
Connectivity (EU bottom 15%)
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%)
Industrial base (EU bottom 15%)
Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%)
Long-run slide: down 13 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Why you might not pick Lodi
Long-run slide: down 33 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute). Its weakest dimension is Governance (EU pctl 20) — Caltanissetta may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Lodi leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
56.0
33.1
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
54.5
35.8
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
50.3
28.7
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
56.3
12.7
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
29.5
7.0
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
47.8
51.8

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
2.5% 5y
3.4% 5y
Population
0.2% 5y
0.8% 5y
Unemployment rate
13.8% 5y
0.2% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€32,527
€20,665
Population density
294 /km²
115 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 87 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€6,728M
€4,556M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€270M
€282M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€1,677M
€434M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€1,465M
€241M
GVA — construction (F)
€448M
€426M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€1,454M
€879M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€26,600
€16,800
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
34,000 PPS
21,200 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€32,700
€20,400
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€101,220M
€24,161M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€19,922M
€2,214M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€188,904M
€40,753M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€917M
€686M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€219M
€51M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€1,897M
€1,200M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€983M
€1,335M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€6,819M
€4,759M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€93,866
€69,449
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€1,569M
€1,162M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
82,200
74,300
Self-employed persons
18,200
18,800
Employment in manufacturing (C)
15,600
5,500
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
71.7%
54.1%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
10.9%
33.8%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
2.9%
12.1%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
108,500
87,300
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
14,139
13,701
Enterprise births
1,084
1,166
Enterprise deaths
808
788
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.6%
4.5%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.2%
1.0%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
5.3%
2.6%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.6%
0.7%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
23.6%
16.9%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
34.0%
24.0%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
11.8%
7.2%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
18.7%
15.8%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
5.2%
3.9%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
96.0%
90.9%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
168,264
275,528
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
640 /1k
733 /1k
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
13
1
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
7,577 kt
992 kt
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
6
0
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
32 km/1000km²
28 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
27
96
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
3
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
148,012
156,417
Population aged 65+
53,051
58,686
Population aged under 15
29,187
30,318
Median age of population
48.0 yrs
47.8 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
35.8%
37.5%
Crude rate of total population change
3.4 /1k
-6.9 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
6.6 /1k
-2.2 /1k
Crude birth rate
6.8 /1k
6.7 /1k
Crude death rate
10.1 /1k
11.4 /1k
Live births
1,569
1,640
Deaths
2,318
2,797
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
55.6%
56.9%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.28
1.20
Population density (persons per km²)
300 /km²
116 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
211,543
164,385
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
12.5%
44.0%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
84.4 yrs
82.6 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
9.2%
38.4%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
322 /100k
288 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
835 /100k
1,031 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
222 /100k
209 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.0 /100k
0.8 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
31.8 /100k
13.8 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
841 /100k
533 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
38 /M
50 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.72
0.72
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.60
0.60
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.57
0.57
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.41
0.41
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.159/kWh
€0.159/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
73 m
413 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
49 days/yr
79 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
41 days/yr
4 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
13 days/yr
5 days/yr