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2 regions side-by-side

HU323 · PL638

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NUTS-3 HU323 · Hungary
Population
520,5512025
GDP
€6,517M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
6.1%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
78.2%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
5,920.1 km²
NUTS-3 PL638 · Poland
Population
396,6862025
GDP
€5,862M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
2.7%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
80%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
4,115.6 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Starogardzki (Opportunity 40). Runner-up: Szabolcs-Szatmár-Bereg (37). Contrarian pick: Szabolcs-Szatmár-Bereg — leads the set on Cost advantage (EU pctl 94).

Strengths
Industrial base (92) · Cost advantage (90)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Cost advantage (94) · Industrial base (69)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Energy cost (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Starogardzki
Economic base (EU bottom 15%); Governance (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Economic base (EU pctl 11) — Szabolcs-Szatmár-Bereg may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Starogardzki leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
37.3
40.4
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
37.0
25.5
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
23.2
47.2
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
50.0
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
41.3
27.0
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
23.8
72.0
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
68.8
58.2

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
1.6% 5y
2.1% 5y
Population
0.8% 5y
1.3% 5y
Unemployment rate
7.3% 5y
6.6% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€12,520
€14,777
Population density
88 /km²
96 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 89 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€5,600M
€5,297M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€503M
€272M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€1,336M
€1,935M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€1,233M
€1,772M
GVA — construction (F)
€428M
€430M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€961M
€1,003M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€9,300
€11,000
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
17,600 PPS
21,300 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€12,500
€14,400
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€7,214M
€8,238M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€3,008M
€1,560M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€7,834M
€17,730M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€467M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€80M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€814M
€695M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€1,558M
€961M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€4,918M
€5,037M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€39,248
€45,773
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€2,293M
€1,257M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
175,520
157,800
Self-employed persons
21,960
33,800
Employment in manufacturing (C)
43,200
43,600
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
77.0%
76.5%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
15.3%
7.3%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
6.1%
2.7%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
261,400
198,600
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
22,646
22,712
Enterprise births
2,297
2,595
Enterprise deaths
642
3,082
3-year enterprise survival rate
6.2%
5.2%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
0.8%
2.3%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
4.3%
6.7%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.6%
1.3%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
23.4%
43.6%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
26.0%
48.8%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
11.0%
9.1%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
17.5%
32.0%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
6.1%
11.7%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
91.2%
95.7%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
442,537
310,070
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
395 /1k
600 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
7,380 kt
16,230 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
3,072
46
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
15 km/1000km²
4 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
590
12
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
64
59
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
2
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
338,252
258,067
Population aged 65+
97,037
76,889
Population aged under 15
85,262
61,730
Median age of population
42.6 yrs
42.6 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
28.7%
29.8%
Crude rate of total population change
-7.6 /1k
-5.6 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
-5.0 /1k
-1.7 /1k
Crude birth rate
10.4 /1k
6.8 /1k
Crude death rate
13.0 /1k
10.6 /1k
Live births
5,442
2,696
Deaths
6,772
4,227
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
53.9%
53.7%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.77
1.16
Population density (persons per km²)
89 /km²
99 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
445,818
299,457
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
28.4%
16.8%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
75.5 yrs
78.7 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
22.1%
13.5%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
603 /100k
470 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,761 /100k
1,427 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
335 /100k
290 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
1.3 /100k
0.5 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
8.6 /100k
9.8 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
196 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
642 /100k
195 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
60 /M
50 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.66
0.52
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.29
0.69
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.24
0.35
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.04
0.67
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.67
0.54
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.171/kWh
€0.113/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.064/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
113 m
10 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
28 days/yr
5 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
78 days/yr
80 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
3 days/yr
3 days/yr