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HR050 · SI041

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NUTS-3 HR050 · Croatia
Population
777,3592025
GDP
€29,117M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
80.8%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
636.6 km²
NUTS-3 SI041 · Slovenia
Population
569,4752025
GDP
€26,921M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3.6%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
79.9%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
2,337.3 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Osrednjeslovenska (Opportunity 63). Runner-up: Grad Zagreb (60). Contrarian pick: Grad Zagreb — leads the set on Talent & skills (EU pctl 86).

Strengths
Economic base (92) · Talent & skills (82)
Red flags
Air quality (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Economic base (91) · Talent & skills (86)
Red flags
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Air quality (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Osrednjeslovenska
Air quality (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Air quality (EU pctl 10) — Grad Zagreb may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Osrednjeslovenska leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
59.7
63.2
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
30.8
49.0
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
46.1
52.1
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
1.5
10.3
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
54.7
51.7
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
85.5
81.8
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
72.8
73.6

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
5.7% 5y
3.8% 5y
Population
0.1% 5y
0.5% 5y
Unemployment rate
8.6% 5y
4.4% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€37,456
€47,273
Population density
1,221 /km²
244 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 89 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€24,145M
€23,836M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€32M
€118M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€2,735M
€4,303M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€2,100M
€3,346M
GVA — construction (F)
€1,181M
€1,194M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€8,652M
€6,691M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€13,100
€17,400
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
52,500 PPS
54,100 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€37,500
€47,500
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€7,329M
€7,464M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€461M
€1,358M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€14,255M
€20,182M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€1,092M
€1,219M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€2,634M
€1,867M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€6,332M
€6,674M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€5,213M
€4,857M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€23,326M
€21,717M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€80,212
€72,418
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€8,099M
€5,512M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
387,180
390,390
Self-employed persons
32,030
64,840
Employment in manufacturing (C)
41,510
47,880
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
77.3%
76.8%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
15.3%
10.8%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
3.0%
3.6%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
395,500
288,400
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
67,348
71,731
Enterprise births
8,203
7,746
Enterprise deaths
3,641
4,335
3-year enterprise survival rate
5.6%
5.4%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
2.2%
2.6%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
12.2%
7.9%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
2.8%
2.6%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
51.7%
39.7%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
58.9%
45.7%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
10.8%
25.4%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
41.8%
29.5%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
12.9%
10.9%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
92.0%
94.8%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
2,721,617
3,164,426
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
511 /1k
582 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
9,330 kt
15,879 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
2,102
720
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
76 km/1000km²
38 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
270
126
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
9
19
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
4
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
502,831
370,392
Population aged 65+
161,220
112,777
Population aged under 15
113,308
86,306
Median age of population
43.1 yrs
43.1 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
32.1%
30.4%
Crude rate of total population change
6.8 /1k
7.3 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
9.0 /1k
7.4 /1k
Crude birth rate
8.9 /1k
8.2 /1k
Crude death rate
11.1 /1k
8.3 /1k
Live births
6,862
4,646
Deaths
8,635
4,737
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
54.6%
53.7%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.33
1.39
Population density (persons per km²)
244 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
559,093
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
12.4%
13.1%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
80.2 yrs
83.2 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
11.4%
12.2%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
695 /100k
464 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,456 /100k
931 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
310 /100k
287 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
1.4 /100k
0.7 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
62.8 /100k
27.8 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
289 /100k
557 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
453 /100k
2,186 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
22 /M
31 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.72
1.26
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.30
0.74
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.43
0.92
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.11
0.75
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.73
0.77
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.126/kWh
€0.132/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.051/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
113 m
299 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
25 days/yr
18 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
66 days/yr
82 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
10 days/yr
18 days/yr