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HR037 · EE009

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NUTS-3 HR037 · Croatia
Population
116,3932025
GDP
€2,553M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
5.5%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
73.8%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
1,755.8 km²
NUTS-3 EE009 · Estonia
Population
122,8702025
GDP
€2,199M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
7.5%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
81.7%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
9,146.1 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Kesk-Eesti (Opportunity 31). Runner-up: Dubrovačko-neretvanska županija (29). Contrarian pick: Dubrovačko-neretvanska županija — leads the set on Cost advantage (EU pctl 90).

Strengths
Cost advantage (75) · Energy cost (73)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Cost advantage (90) · Growth momentum (78)
Red flags
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%)
Industrial base (EU bottom 15%)
Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Kesk-Eesti
Economic base (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Economic base (EU pctl 7) — Dubrovačko-neretvanska županija may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Kesk-Eesti leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
29.0
31.4
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
15.0
42.5
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
25.0
53.4
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
15.0
46.3
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
36.5
69.8
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
78.0
49.2

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
8.8% 5y
1.0% 5y
Population
0.1% 5y
0.1% 5y
Unemployment rate
6.5% 5y
1.4% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€21,937
€17,901
Population density
66 /km²
13 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 88 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€2,117M
€1,927M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€23M
€185M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€75M
€480M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€23M
€446M
GVA — construction (F)
€162M
€173M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€938M
€331M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€11,000
€15,400
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
30,700 PPS
19,400 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€22,000
€17,800
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€7,641M
€9,522M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€658M
€822M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€13,216M
€20,179M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€264M
€282M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€57M
€17M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€476M
€384M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€443M
€375M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€2,028M
€1,607M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€49,435
€46,807
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€782M
€557M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
55,090
49,330
Self-employed persons
8,860
5,660
Employment in manufacturing (C)
2,790
11,540
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
72.4%
81.7%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
18.0%
20.7%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
5.5%
7.4%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
53,200
65,000
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
8,275
10,244
Enterprise births
1,081
1,186
Enterprise deaths
372
2,393
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.2%
5.0%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
0.7%
2.0%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
2.8%
7.3%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.6%
1.4%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
31.1%
42.1%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
43.1%
44.3%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
6.5%
23.8%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
23.9%
25.5%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
6.5%
9.2%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
87.1%
95.4%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
8,413,195
290,214
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
549 /1k
635 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
1,325 kt
4,401 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
18
2,721
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
27 km/1000km²
5 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
16
2,215
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
82
82
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
2
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
71,788
74,896
Population aged 65+
27,459
29,040
Population aged under 15
17,146
18,934
Median age of population
44.9 yrs
45.4 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
38.3%
38.8%
Crude rate of total population change
7.7 /1k
-8.1 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
10.2 /1k
-0.5 /1k
Crude birth rate
8.9 /1k
6.7 /1k
Crude death rate
11.4 /1k
14.3 /1k
Live births
1,034
828
Deaths
1,316
1,766
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
62.1%
64.1%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.55
1.33
Population density (persons per km²)
66 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
105,447
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
20.6%
21.8%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
79.9 yrs
79.4 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
19.0%
19.5%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
531 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,391 /100k
1,322 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
295 /100k
238 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.9 /100k
0.8 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
2.6 /100k
5.7 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
67.5 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
159 /100k
543 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
75 /M
50 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.72
1.36
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.30
1.54
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.43
1.52
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.11
1.60
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.73
0.87
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.126/kWh
€0.119/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.053/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
308 m
114 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
24 days/yr
0 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
6 days/yr
140 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
16 days/yr
2 days/yr