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HR032 · HR022

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NUTS-3 HR032 · Croatia
Population
43,2002025
GDP
€811M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
5.5%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
73.8%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
5,336.8 km²
NUTS-3 HR022 · Croatia
Population
67,2212025
GDP
€811M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
7.4%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
68.4%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
2,019.1 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Ličko-senjska županija (Opportunity 30). Runner-up: Virovitičko-podravska županija (26). Contrarian pick: Virovitičko-podravska županija — leads the set on Cost advantage (EU pctl 93).

Strengths
Cost advantage (90) · Air quality (86)
Red flags
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%)
Industrial base (EU bottom 15%)
Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Cost advantage (93) · Energy cost (71)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Talent & skills (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Ličko-senjska županija
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%); Industrial base (EU bottom 15%); Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%); Governance (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Digital readiness (EU pctl 0) — Virovitičko-podravska županija may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Ličko-senjska županija leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
30.2
25.7
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
35.3
34.0
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
30.6
20.3
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
85.7
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
23.3
28.3
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
36.5
12.5
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
79.0
70.6

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
7.2% 5y
3.1% 5y
Population
0.3% 5y
1.4% 5y
Unemployment rate
5.2% 5y
8.9% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€18,772
€12,061
Population density
8 /km²
33 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 89 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€672M
€672M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€70M
€100M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€55M
€102M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€19M
€85M
GVA — construction (F)
€102M
€50M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€184M
€93M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€11,000
€10,300
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
26,300 PPS
16,900 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€18,800
€12,100
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€7,641M
€3,386M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€658M
€560M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€13,216M
€7,231M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€84M
€88M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€14M
€13M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€113M
€141M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€148M
€186M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€644M
€638M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€45,125
€32,013
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€248M
€205M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
19,170
27,010
Self-employed persons
3,340
5,820
Employment in manufacturing (C)
1,510
5,320
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
72.4%
68.1%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
18.0%
24.7%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
5.6%
7.4%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
19,600
28,500
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
2,029
2,424
Enterprise births
256
282
Enterprise deaths
98
144
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.3%
7.2%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
0.7%
0.5%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
2.8%
3.4%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.6%
0.3%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
31.1%
20.5%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
43.1%
31.9%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
6.5%
4.9%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
23.9%
18.1%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
6.5%
5.2%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
87.1%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
2,966,687
46,778
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
549 /1k
476 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
1,085 kt
1,283 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
13
20
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
27 km/1000km²
18 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
30
30
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
68
54
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
2
2
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
26,445
42,059
Population aged 65+
11,151
15,947
Population aged under 15
5,604
9,215
Median age of population
48.3 yrs
47.0 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
42.2%
37.9%
Crude rate of total population change
8.7 /1k
-12.0 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
18.9 /1k
-3.3 /1k
Crude birth rate
8.0 /1k
7.8 /1k
Crude death rate
18.3 /1k
16.5 /1k
Live births
346
526
Deaths
785
1,118
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
63.4%
59.8%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.55
1.51
Population density (persons per km²)
8 /km²
34 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
22,811
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
20.6%
30.0%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
79.9 yrs
77.2 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
19.0%
28.6%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
531 /100k
561 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,391 /100k
1,784 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
295 /100k
308 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
2.3 /100k
0.0 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
9.3 /100k
1.5 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
269 /100k
94.1 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
483 /100k
194 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
75 /M
92 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.72
0.72
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.30
0.30
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.43
0.43
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.11
0.11
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.73
0.73
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.126/kWh
€0.126/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
691 m
110 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
13 days/yr
24 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
86 days/yr
58 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
17 days/yr
6 days/yr