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HR031 · PT1D3

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NUTS-3 HR031 · Croatia
Population
265,9902025
GDP
€6,688M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
5.5%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
73.8%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
3,573.4 km²
NUTS-3 PT1D3 · Portugal
Population
251,3742025
GDP
€5,575M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
5.2%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
78.8%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
4,267.1 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Lezíria do Tejo (Opportunity 44). Runner-up: Primorsko-goranska županija (43). Contrarian pick: Primorsko-goranska županija — leads the set on Cost advantage (EU pctl 90).

Strengths
Energy cost (90) · Air quality (88)
Red flags
Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Cost advantage (90) · Growth momentum (75)
Red flags
Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Lezíria do Tejo
Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Digital readiness (EU pctl 8) — Primorsko-goranska županija may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Lezíria do Tejo leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
43.4
44.4
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
20.3
82.8
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
30.4
42.5
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
55.0
88.0
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
46.0
29.3
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
36.5
55.0
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
75.0
71.0

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
6.9% 5y
Population
0.4% 5y
1.4% 5y
Unemployment rate
5.8% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€25,143
€22,179
Population density
74 /km²
59 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 89 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€5,546M
€4,848M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€50M
€457M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€1,020M
€1,014M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€902M
€832M
GVA — construction (F)
€360M
€177M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€1,895M
€1,284M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€11,000
€14,400
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
35,200 PPS
27,200 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€25,200
€22,300
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€7,641M
€3,139M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€658M
€831M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€13,216M
€7,446M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€573M
€444M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€164M
€35M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€1,186M
€885M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€1,035M
€829M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€5,313M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€56,601
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€2,048M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
126,030
105,530
Self-employed persons
18,100
16,070
Employment in manufacturing (C)
14,550
15,190
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
72.4%
77.1%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
18.0%
19.8%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
5.5%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
121,400
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
21,226
24,347
Enterprise births
2,497
3,884
Enterprise deaths
1,272
2,766
3-year enterprise survival rate
5.1%
5.0%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
0.7%
0.9%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
2.8%
4.0%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.6%
0.6%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
31.1%
28.5%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
43.1%
40.7%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
6.5%
16.0%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
23.9%
20.2%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
6.5%
9.7%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
87.1%
90.6%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
15,492,740
329,362
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
549 /1k
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
67
14
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
7,883 kt
7,018 kt
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
25
6
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
27 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
17
57
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
2
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
163,527
155,884
Population aged 65+
70,753
63,757
Population aged under 15
31,710
31,733
Median age of population
48.2 yrs
47.7 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
43.3%
40.9%
Crude rate of total population change
4.2 /1k
20.7 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
11.9 /1k
26.1 /1k
Crude birth rate
6.5 /1k
7.3 /1k
Crude death rate
14.2 /1k
12.6 /1k
Live births
1,715
1,896
Deaths
3,758
3,286
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
62.7%
61.3%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.20
1.46
Population density (persons per km²)
74 /km²
59 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
179,324
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
20.6%
20.4%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
79.9 yrs
82.4 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
19.0%
17.2%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
531 /100k
156 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,391 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
295 /100k
217 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.8 /100k
0.4 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
22.3 /100k
50.9 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
238 /100k
134 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
439 /100k
668 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
75 /M
86 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.72
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.30
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.43
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.11
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.73
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.126/kWh
€0.107/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.045/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
881 m
23 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
1 days/yr
66 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
90 days/yr
2 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
33 days/yr
4 days/yr