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FRB02 · FRE21

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NUTS-3 FRB02 · France
Population
433,1242025
GDP
€13,650M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
6.1%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
77.9%2025
Active firms
83,3152026
Cadastral parcels
588,6612026
Area
5,932.8 km²
NUTS-3 FRE21 · France
Population
518,5832025
GDP
€15,037M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
7.5%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
74.3%2025
Active firms
85,0122026
Cadastral parcels
999,4482026
Area
7,414.4 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Eure-et-Loir (Opportunity 62). Runner-up: Aisne (59). Contrarian pick: Aisne — leads the set on Freight intensity (EU pctl 69).

Strengths
Energy cost (88) · Talent & skills (73)
Red flags
Long-run slide: down 16 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Strengths
Energy cost (88) · Freight intensity (69)
Red flags
Long-run slide: down 15 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Why you might not pick Eure-et-Loir
Long-run slide: down 16 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute). Its weakest dimension is Demographic outlook (EU pctl 20) — Aisne may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Eure-et-Loir leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
62.4
59.1
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
62.5
57.5
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
51.4
40.4
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
71.7
63.7
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
54.0
51.7
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
73.0
50.3
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
48.2
47.8

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
1.1% 5y
2.4% 5y
Population
0.1% 5y
0.4% 5y
Unemployment rate
7.3% 5y
3.0% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€31,515
€28,996
Population density
73 /km²
70 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
1,359
1,927
Firms per 1k pop
192
164

All indicators · 89 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€12,197M
€13,410M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€345M
€871M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€2,529M
€2,307M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€2,311M
€2,116M
GVA — construction (F)
€726M
€757M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€2,249M
€2,045M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€23,500
€21,900
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
29,100 PPS
26,500 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€31,600
€28,800
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€20,283M
€13,339M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€2,604M
€1,885M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€46,136M
€30,350M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€1,922M
€2,068M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€361M
€65M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€3,370M
€3,335M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€2,980M
€4,095M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€12,102M
€13,369M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€90,507
€87,372
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€3,076M
€3,352M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
153,700
175,400
Self-employed persons
17,200
18,300
Employment in manufacturing (C)
22,700
20,500
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
76.3%
73.1%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
18.0%
28.2%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
6.1%
7.4%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
198,500
227,300
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
24,899
24,696
Enterprise births
3,490
3,241
Enterprise deaths
2,513
2,541
3-year enterprise survival rate
6.9%
5.9%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.4%
1.4%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
4.4%
2.8%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.0%
0.8%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
41.4%
35.5%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
51.6%
38.3%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
16.2%
11.0%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
26.6%
24.6%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
9.0%
8.0%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
94.3%
92.8%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
951,162
1,883,573
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
631 /1k
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
1,948
2,703
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
14,152 kt
19,459 kt
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
25 km/1000km²
29 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
450
521
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
77
91
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
2
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
258,416
309,732
Population aged 65+
96,879
117,697
Population aged under 15
77,829
91,154
Median age of population
43.9 yrs
43.7 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
37.5%
38.0%
Crude rate of total population change
-0.3 /1k
-4.8 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
0.7 /1k
-2.9 /1k
Crude birth rate
9.2 /1k
9.0 /1k
Crude death rate
10.3 /1k
10.9 /1k
Live births
3,990
4,696
Deaths
4,451
5,674
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
67.6%
67.4%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.76
1.72
Population density (persons per km²)
73 /km²
70 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
356,744
440,527
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
15.1%
19.1%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
82.6 yrs
81.6 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
11.0%
14.5%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
555 /100k
545 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
862 /100k
977 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
228 /100k
244 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.7 /100k
1.3 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
26.5 /100k
35.7 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
387 /100k
447 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
1,179 /100k
1,494 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
66 /M
54 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.46
1.46
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.27
1.27
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.02
1.02
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.39
1.39
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.02
0.02
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.107/kWh
€0.107/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.053/kWh
€0.053/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
165 m
70 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
8 days/yr
8 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
33 days/yr
36 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
3 days/yr
3 days/yr