NUTS-3 ES630 · Spain
Population
83,5672025
GDP
€1,863M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
24.3%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
58.3%2025
Active firms· FR-only
—
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
—
Area
18.2 km²
TerraSight · Compare
2 regions side-by-side
ES630 · ES640
Decision brief
Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity
Best overall fit: Ceuta (Opportunity 23). Runner-up: Melilla (16). Contrarian pick: Melilla — leads the set on Demographic outlook (EU pctl 83).
#1Ceuta
Strengths
Energy cost (95) · Digital readiness (78)
Red flags
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%)
Industrial base (EU bottom 15%)
#2Melilla
Strengths
Energy cost (95) · Demographic outlook (83)
Red flags
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%)
Industrial base (EU bottom 15%)
Long-run slide: down 12 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Why you might not pick Ceuta
Labour market (EU bottom 15%); Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%); Industrial base (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Freight intensity (EU pctl 0) — Melilla may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Ceuta leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
- Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
- Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
- Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
- Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics
This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.
Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores
Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
23.2
16.4
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
27.8
35.8
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
43.2
43.1
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
—
30.3
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
44.5
35.5
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
49.3
40.0
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
33.4
17.6
Trajectories · 2012–latest
Real GDP (2020 prices)
2.4% 5y
2.6% 5y
Population
0.2% 5y
0.1% 5y
Unemployment rate
0.2% 5y
0.8% 5y
Derived comparisons
GDP per capita
€22,295
€20,140
Population density
4,603 /km²
7,404 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
All indicators · 84 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)
Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€1,794M
€1,699M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€2M
€1M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€94M
€58M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€29M
€17M
GVA — construction (F)
€88M
€85M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€393M
€332M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€16,100
€14,900
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
25,200 PPS
23,000 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€22,400
€20,500
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€348M
€387M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€1M
€1M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€1,166M
€1,117M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€321M
€375M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€897M
€848M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€1,732M
€1,649M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€61,523
€56,124
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€395M
€439M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
31,800
33,300
Self-employed persons
3,400
4,300
Employment in manufacturing (C)
300
200
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
69.2%
63.3%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
57.5%
60.2%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
24.3%
24.7%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
41,100
37,200
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
3,550
4,751
Enterprise births
287
495
Enterprise deaths
344
478
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.7%
4.4%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
0.2%
0.4%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.2%
0.4%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
33.5%
30.0%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
47.3%
42.2%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
16.8%
11.5%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
21.8%
22.0%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
3.5%
4.2%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
97.2%
97.5%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
134,584
133,821
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
520 /1k
615 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
174 kt
150 kt
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
0 km/1000km²
0 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
28
35
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
3
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
57,961
58,987
Population aged 65+
11,438
11,039
Population aged under 15
14,168
17,041
Median age of population
39.2 yrs
36.7 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
19.7%
18.7%
Crude rate of total population change
4.7 /1k
12.5 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
2.7 /1k
8.3 /1k
Crude birth rate
8.2 /1k
9.2 /1k
Crude death rate
6.3 /1k
5.0 /1k
Live births
685
795
Deaths
522
434
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
44.2%
47.6%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.25
1.36
Population density (persons per km²)
4,169 /km²
6,180 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
77,560
94,454
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
40.8%
43.7%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
81.9 yrs
83.3 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
37.0%
39.3%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
197 /100k
193 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,133 /100k
1,062 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
184 /100k
206 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.0 /100k
0.0 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
168 /100k
123 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
46.9 /100k
119 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
291 /100k
315 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
12 /M
11 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.14
1.14
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.84
0.84
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.96
0.96
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.78
0.78
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.16
0.16
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.106/kWh
€0.106/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
160 m
51 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
5 days/yr
21 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
0 days/yr
0 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
6 days/yr
2 days/yr