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2 regions side-by-side

ES615 · HU221

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NUTS-3 ES615 · Spain
Population
538,7892025
GDP
€13,184M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
15.2%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
65.8%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
10,142.7 km²
NUTS-3 HU221 · Hungary
Population
471,6482025
GDP
€10,293M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3.1%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
82.2%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
4,217.5 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Huelva (Opportunity 51). Runner-up: Győr-Moson-Sopron (51). Contrarian pick: Győr-Moson-Sopron — leads the set on Demographic outlook (EU pctl 92).

Strengths
Energy cost (95) · Cost advantage (78)
Red flags
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Connectivity (EU bottom 15%)
Industrial base (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Demographic outlook (92) · Cost advantage (92)
Red flags
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Energy cost (EU bottom 15%)
Flood: 20% of population in the 100-year floodplain
Why you might not pick Huelva
Labour market (EU bottom 15%); Connectivity (EU bottom 15%); Industrial base (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Labour market (EU pctl 5) — Győr-Moson-Sopron may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Huelva leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics
  • Flood defences, return-period design and insurance for flagged regions

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
51.2
50.5
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
45.0
36.8
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
41.4
40.3
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
40.0
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
14.0
51.0
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
46.8
15.3
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
75.4
53.8

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
5.3% 5y
1.0% 5y
Population
0.5% 5y
0.4% 5y
Unemployment rate
5.3% 5y
10.8% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€24,469
€21,823
Population density
53 /km²
112 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 89 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€12,030M
€8,844M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€1,002M
€356M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€2,709M
€3,234M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€768M
€2,906M
GVA — construction (F)
€685M
€547M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€2,505M
€1,460M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€14,700
€10,600
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
27,700 PPS
30,800 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€24,600
€21,800
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€38,703M
€4,295M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€2,996M
€1,556M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€98,864M
€7,392M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€1,057M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€148M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€2,525M
€1,830M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€2,605M
€1,418M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€12,127M
€8,067M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€72,862
€47,104
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€2,903M
€2,317M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
194,000
230,970
Self-employed persons
33,500
20,910
Employment in manufacturing (C)
12,100
73,100
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
71.4%
78.8%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
32.7%
11.6%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
15.2%
3.0%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
264,400
244,100
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
27,665
43,840
Enterprise births
2,553
3,900
Enterprise deaths
2,442
980
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.4%
5.7%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.1%
1.1%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.0%
4.3%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.8%
0.6%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
36.7%
26.0%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
45.4%
21.0%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
13.7%
7.3%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
21.4%
18.8%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
5.7%
6.3%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
96.5%
94.4%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
6,273,367
1,353,864
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
535 /1k
502 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
19,430 kt
7,291 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
9
2,268
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
31 km/1000km²
21 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
2
481
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
92
58
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
2
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
366,335
310,335
Population aged 65+
99,487
91,861
Population aged under 15
72,967
69,452
Median age of population
44.7 yrs
44.0 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
27.2%
29.6%
Crude rate of total population change
5.7 /1k
-3.4 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
7.5 /1k
-0.2 /1k
Crude birth rate
6.7 /1k
8.6 /1k
Crude death rate
8.5 /1k
11.8 /1k
Live births
3,618
4,084
Deaths
4,566
5,598
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
47.1%
52.0%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.15
1.43
Population density (persons per km²)
54 /km²
114 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
432,028
527,623
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
34.7%
12.0%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
82.9 yrs
77.5 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
27.7%
8.9%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
217 /100k
670 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
972 /100k
1,594 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
217 /100k
312 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.4 /100k
1.1 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
61.4 /100k
4.0 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
273 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
235 /100k
514 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
41 /M
60 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.14
0.66
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.84
0.29
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.96
0.24
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.78
0.04
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.16
0.67
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.106/kWh
€0.171/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
76 m
114 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
106 days/yr
22 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
0 days/yr
61 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
5 days/yr
4 days/yr