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ES432 · ES412

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NUTS-3 ES432 · Spain
Population
388,1902025
GDP
€10,266M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
14.8%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
66.9%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
19,862.4 km²
NUTS-3 ES412 · Spain
Population
362,6632025
GDP
€11,304M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
8.6%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
74.3%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
14,293.2 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Burgos (Opportunity 49). Runner-up: Cáceres (46). Contrarian pick: Cáceres — leads the set on Cost advantage (EU pctl 77).

Strengths
Freight intensity (97) · Energy cost (95)
Red flags
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Energy cost (95) · Cost advantage (77)
Red flags
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%)
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Connectivity (EU bottom 15%)
Industrial base (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Burgos
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Demographic outlook (EU pctl 9) — Cáceres may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Burgos leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
45.6
48.9
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
39.5
47.5
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
46.1
53.0
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
76.0
74.3
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
5.7
16.0
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
51.3
60.3
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
67.4
48.4

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
4.0% 5y
1.5% 5y
Population
0.2% 5y
0.3% 5y
Unemployment rate
6.6% 5y
5.7% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€26,445
€31,169
Population density
20 /km²
25 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 87 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€9,368M
€10,315M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€827M
€341M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€2,413M
€3,090M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€486M
€2,600M
GVA — construction (F)
€700M
€603M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€1,453M
€2,084M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€15,200
€18,500
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
29,700 PPS
35,400 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€26,400
€31,500
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€4,835M
€13,527M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€488M
€2,707M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€11,520M
€32,274M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€1,502M
€2,045M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€2,473M
€2,153M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€9,131M
€10,376M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€74,267
€74,928
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€2,235M
€2,482M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
148,000
162,300
Self-employed persons
29,600
27,100
Employment in manufacturing (C)
9,300
31,700
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
72.7%
75.7%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
37.4%
24.7%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
14.7%
8.5%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
181,300
175,500
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
25,647
22,997
Enterprise births
1,983
1,653
Enterprise deaths
1,972
1,534
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.6%
3.2%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
0.7%
1.4%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
2.2%
3.3%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.5%
1.1%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
34.5%
42.1%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
49.6%
52.3%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
14.8%
15.3%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
20.0%
22.8%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
6.6%
7.3%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
96.5%
96.0%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
2,427,859
2,093,608
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
631 /1k
601 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
7,993 kt
26,257 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
10
21
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
17 km/1000km²
26 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
3
6
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
233
128
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
0
0
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
246,262
227,458
Population aged 65+
98,462
92,889
Population aged under 15
43,466
42,316
Median age of population
49.7 yrs
49.4 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
40.0%
40.8%
Crude rate of total population change
-1.2 /1k
8.1 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
5.2 /1k
13.5 /1k
Crude birth rate
5.6 /1k
5.6 /1k
Crude death rate
12.0 /1k
11.0 /1k
Live births
2,173
2,031
Deaths
4,646
3,974
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
57.6%
59.4%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.09
1.12
Population density (persons per km²)
20 /km²
25 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
214,658
218,752
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
30.4%
24.1%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
83.2 yrs
84.8 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
26.2%
19.8%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
343 /100k
343 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
925 /100k
749 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
213 /100k
212 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.8 /100k
1.4 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
19.3 /100k
42.5 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
180 /100k
269 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
116 /100k
206 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
42 /M
68 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.14
1.14
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.84
0.84
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.96
0.96
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.78
0.78
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.16
0.16
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.106/kWh
€0.106/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
376 m
906 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
82 days/yr
29 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
7 days/yr
50 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
5 days/yr
2 days/yr