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ES419 · PT196

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NUTS-3 ES419 · Spain
Population
165,5642025
GDP
€4,359M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
8.6%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
74.3%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
10,546.6 km²
NUTS-3 PT196 · Portugal
Population
210,6572025
GDP
€3,959M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
5%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
80.5%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
6,311.7 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Beiras e Serra da Estrela (Opportunity 39). Runner-up: Zamora (37). Contrarian pick: Zamora — leads the set on Energy cost (EU pctl 95).

Strengths
Air quality (93) · Energy cost (90)
Red flags
Connectivity (EU bottom 15%)
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%)
Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Energy cost (95) · Freight intensity (90)
Red flags
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%)
Connectivity (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Beiras e Serra da Estrela
Connectivity (EU bottom 15%); Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%); Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Freight intensity (EU pctl 2) — Zamora may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: LogisticsZamora · ManufacturingBeiras e Serra da Estrela · OfficeBeiras e Serra da Estrela · ResidentialBeiras e Serra da Estrela.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
36.9
39.1
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
37.8
72.5
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
57.4
51.1
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
89.0
92.5
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
6.7
14.7
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
60.3
70.0
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
52.2
64.4

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
4.5% 5y
Population
0.7% 5y
0.2% 5y
Unemployment rate
7.9% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€26,329
€18,793
Population density
16 /km²
33 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 89 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€3,978M
€3,443M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€360M
€147M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€726M
€618M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€348M
€449M
GVA — construction (F)
€249M
€141M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€826M
€701M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€18,500
€14,500
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
29,400 PPS
22,900 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€26,200
€18,800
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€13,527M
€7,092M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€2,707M
€2,154M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€32,274M
€16,948M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€353M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€87M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€820M
€642M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€998M
€963M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€4,001M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€72,369
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€957M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
64,800
86,460
Self-employed persons
16,000
18,780
Employment in manufacturing (C)
5,300
11,850
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
75.7%
79.0%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
24.7%
19.0%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
8.6%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
74,700
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
10,953
21,506
Enterprise births
688
2,583
Enterprise deaths
673
2,293
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.5%
4.8%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.4%
2.0%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.3%
4.2%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.1%
1.8%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
42.1%
33.4%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
52.3%
46.4%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
15.3%
17.9%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
22.8%
23.5%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
7.3%
10.4%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
96.0%
88.3%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
609,564
1,062,254
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
601 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
8,953 kt
1,095 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
4
42
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
2
20
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
26 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
208
142
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
0
0
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
96,848
119,569
Population aged 65+
54,098
70,850
Population aged under 15
14,618
20,238
Median age of population
54.5 yrs
53.9 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
55.9%
59.3%
Crude rate of total population change
-4.2 /1k
6.4 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
7.0 /1k
17.0 /1k
Crude birth rate
4.2 /1k
5.6 /1k
Crude death rate
15.4 /1k
16.2 /1k
Live births
700
1,199
Deaths
2,553
3,450
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
71.0%
76.2%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
0.95
1.26
Population density (persons per km²)
16 /km²
33 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
74,753
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
24.1%
19.9%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
84.8 yrs
83.0 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
19.8%
17.0%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
343 /100k
332 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
749 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
212 /100k
209 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.0 /100k
0.5 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
13.2 /100k
16.2 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
256 /100k
85.3 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
105 /100k
390 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
68 /M
80 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.14
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.84
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.96
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.78
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.16
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.106/kWh
€0.107/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.045/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
727 m
992 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
39 days/yr
19 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
36 days/yr
40 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
3 days/yr
7 days/yr