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ES242 · ITF52

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NUTS-3 ES242 · Spain
Population
136,0912025
GDP
€4,324M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
8%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
75.6%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
14,813.6 km²
NUTS-3 ITF52 · Italy
Population
189,0952025
GDP
€4,671M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
5.3%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
61.8%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
3,449.6 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Teruel (Opportunity 41). Runner-up: Matera (37). Contrarian pick: Matera — leads the set on Cost advantage (EU pctl 70).

Strengths
Freight intensity (100) · Energy cost (95)
Red flags
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Cost advantage (70) · Growth momentum (53)
Red flags
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%)
Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Teruel
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Demographic outlook (EU pctl 6) — Matera may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Teruel leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
40.9
36.6
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
49.0
45.8
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
62.1
38.8
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
16.7
27.7
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
61.3
18.3
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
58.4
52.6

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
4.6% 5y
1.9% 5y
Population
0.3% 5y
0.6% 5y
Unemployment rate
5.3% 5y
9.2% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€31,776
€24,701
Population density
9 /km²
55 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 88 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€3,946M
€4,196M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€472M
€396M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€697M
€676M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€461M
€440M
GVA — construction (F)
€296M
€323M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€930M
€941M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€19,900
€17,300
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
35,900 PPS
25,400 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€32,000
€24,500
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€9,383M
€4,517M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€1,967M
€601M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€22,292M
€5,333M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€400M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€51M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€613M
€922M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€939M
€939M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€3,899M
€4,076M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€74,553
€63,623
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€984M
€1,444M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
61,800
74,400
Self-employed persons
13,300
20,500
Employment in manufacturing (C)
7,900
7,700
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
76.1%
60.7%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
24.1%
20.3%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
8.0%
5.3%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
66,100
75,500
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
9,140
12,507
Enterprise births
666
998
Enterprise deaths
635
707
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.1%
4.0%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.2%
0.6%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.6%
2.4%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.2%
0.7%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
41.0%
20.4%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
49.6%
31.0%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
15.1%
9.6%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
22.7%
17.7%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
7.7%
4.1%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
97.6%
90.3%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
1,427,216
2,083,051
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
499 /1k
738 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
14,306 kt
2,009 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
52
332
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
18 km/1000km²
7 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
38
176
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
119
81
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
0
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
85,581
119,797
Population aged 65+
33,547
47,960
Population aged under 15
16,963
21,338
Median age of population
48.2 yrs
48.8 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
39.2%
40.0%
Crude rate of total population change
5.8 /1k
-4.7 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
12.3 /1k
0.1 /1k
Crude birth rate
6.5 /1k
6.1 /1k
Crude death rate
13.0 /1k
10.9 /1k
Live births
880
1,147
Deaths
1,762
2,061
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
59.0%
57.8%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.23
1.14
Population density (persons per km²)
9 /km²
55 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
81,521
137,516
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
19.1%
25.1%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
84.3 yrs
83.5 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
13.6%
21.9%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
352 /100k
315 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
812 /100k
906 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
226 /100k
197 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.0 /100k
1.1 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
8.1 /100k
14.2 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
237 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
122 /100k
479 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
53 /M
60 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.14
0.72
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.84
0.60
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.96
0.57
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.78
0.57
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.16
0.41
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.106/kWh
€0.159/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.048/kWh
€0.048/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
1,342 m
100 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
26 days/yr
87 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
84 days/yr
5 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
2 days/yr
5 days/yr