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EL542 · EL532

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NUTS-3 EL542 · Greece
Population
40,1702025
GDP
€631M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
9.9%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
69%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
1,526 km²
NUTS-3 EL532 · Greece
Population
43,8272025
GDP
€590M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
15.3%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
61.6%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
1,715.8 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Θεσπρωτία (Opportunity 24). Runner-up: Καστοριά (18).

Strengths
Demographic outlook (93) · Cost advantage (83)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Industrial base (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Resilience (EU bottom 15%)
Long-run slide: down 15 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Strengths
Cost advantage (81) · Energy cost (58)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%)
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Connectivity (EU bottom 15%)
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Θεσπρωτία
Economic base (EU bottom 15%); Labour market (EU bottom 15%); Industrial base (EU bottom 15%); Governance (EU bottom 15%); Resilience (EU bottom 15%); Long-run slide: down 15 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute). Its weakest dimension is Economic base (EU pctl 4) — Καστοριά may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Θεσπρωτία leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
24.2
18.2
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
12.8
32.5
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
46.1
31.7
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
28.3
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
35.5
12.0
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
30.0
27.8
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
46.6
37.0

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
4.5% 5y
1.6% 5y
Population
0.8% 5y
1.4% 5y
Unemployment rate
10.7% 5y
4.6% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€15,706
€13,455
Population density
26 /km²
26 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 86 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€551M
€515M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€40M
€65M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€48M
€92M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€27M
€69M
GVA — construction (F)
€21M
€13M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€216M
€96M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€12,400
€13,200
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
17,500 PPS
16,200 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€14,200
€13,100
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€1,087M
€1,167M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€83M
€49M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€1,682M
€1,399M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€84M
€57M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€5M
€4M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€123M
€99M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€103M
€150M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€582M
€504M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€36,761
€33,224
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€179M
€201M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
18,740
18,760
Self-employed persons
9,690
7,260
Employment in manufacturing (C)
700
2,620
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
69.9%
66.6%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
26.1%
31.3%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
10.2%
15.4%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
16,700
19,500
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
3,940
3,577
Enterprise births
283
249
Enterprise deaths
137
184
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.2%
3.2%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.8%
1.0%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
1.2%
1.7%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.7%
1.4%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
35.4%
28.3%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
47.0%
47.0%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
3.9%
4.0%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
19.2%
18.6%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
6.5%
5.9%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
605,837
126,576
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
418 /1k
429 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
1,273 kt
572 kt
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
20 km/1000km²
23 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
38
88
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
22,967
26,598
Population aged 65+
12,413
12,485
Population aged under 15
4,790
4,744
Median age of population
51.6 yrs
52.3 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
54.0%
46.9%
Crude rate of total population change
-1.4 /1k
-12.0 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
7.0 /1k
-4.0 /1k
Crude birth rate
5.7 /1k
5.3 /1k
Crude death rate
14.2 /1k
13.3 /1k
Live births
230
232
Deaths
570
586
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
74.9%
64.8%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.31
1.22
Population density (persons per km²)
27 /km²
26 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
36,531
23,321
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
25.3%
29.5%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
83.6 yrs
82.3 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
22.0%
21.7%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
472 /100k
458 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
869 /100k
1,061 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
201 /100k
234 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.0 /100k
0.0 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
2.5 /100k
0.0 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
39.8 /100k
20.3 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
117 /100k
18.0 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
60 /M
56 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.56
0.56
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.42
0.42
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.49
0.49
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.32
0.32
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.24
0.24
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.143/kWh
€0.143/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.039/kWh
€0.039/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
47 m
793 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
59 days/yr
29 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
6 days/yr
65 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
24 days/yr
7 days/yr