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2 regions side-by-side

EL531 · BG323

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NUTS-3 EL531 · Greece
Population
156,8282025
GDP
€2,540M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
15.3%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
61.6%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
5,812.9 km²
NUTS-3 BG323 · Bulgaria
Population
186,0932025
GDP
€2,169M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
4%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
75%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
2,856.3 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Русе (Opportunity 27). Runner-up: Γρεβενά, Κοζάνη (21).

Strengths
Cost advantage (99) · Freight intensity (83)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Cost advantage (81) · Energy cost (58)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Connectivity (EU bottom 15%)
Industrial base (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Русе
Economic base (EU bottom 15%); Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%); Governance (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Governance (EU pctl 0) — Γρεβενά, Κοζάνη may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Русе leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
21.3
26.8
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
25.5
24.0
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
33.6
18.6
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
39.0
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
7.5
17.7
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
27.8
22.0
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
34.4
56.6

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
1.2% 5y
5.1% 5y
Population
1.3% 5y
1.2% 5y
Unemployment rate
4.8% 5y
6.0% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€16,197
€11,658
Population density
27 /km²
65 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 89 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€2,216M
€1,893M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€202M
€91M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€705M
€397M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€111M
€355M
GVA — construction (F)
€90M
€74M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€327M
€593M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€13,200
€6,500
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
18,900 PPS
18,800 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€15,300
€11,600
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€1,167M
€1,276M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€49M
€285M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€1,399M
€3,129M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€264M
€176M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€21M
€34M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€394M
€308M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€499M
€430M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€2,172M
€1,820M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€39,865
€27,451
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€866M
€506M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
67,350
97,090
Self-employed persons
27,060
21,230
Employment in manufacturing (C)
4,190
24,930
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
66.6%
72.1%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
31.3%
20.3%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
15.4%
4.1%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
70,800
83,800
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
12,255
11,023
Enterprise births
964
1,124
Enterprise deaths
571
1,582
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.7%
5.3%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.0%
0.3%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
1.7%
2.7%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.4%
0.5%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
28.3%
31.2%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
47.0%
41.6%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
4.0%
4.9%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
18.6%
20.4%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
5.9%
4.2%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
91.0%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
154,355
173,093
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
429 /1k
492 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
4,563 kt
8,835 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
6
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
23 km/1000km²
0 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
3
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
117
89
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
0
2
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
96,239
112,597
Population aged 65+
42,424
50,567
Population aged under 15
18,165
22,929
Median age of population
50.5 yrs
50.2 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
44.1%
44.9%
Crude rate of total population change
-11.9 /1k
-9.3 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
-3.4 /1k
2.4 /1k
Crude birth rate
5.3 /1k
6.8 /1k
Crude death rate
13.8 /1k
18.5 /1k
Live births
834
1,277
Deaths
2,170
3,455
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
63.0%
65.3%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.17
1.60
Population density (persons per km²)
28 /km²
67 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
100,155
125,675
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
29.5%
33.8%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
82.3 yrs
74.9 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
21.7%
23.5%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
458 /100k
798 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,061 /100k
2,261 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
234 /100k
223 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.0 /100k
1.6 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
1.3 /100k
13.3 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
18.3 /100k
61.2 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
72.5 /100k
365 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
56 /M
76 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.56
-0.07
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.42
0.25
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.49
-0.10
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.32
-0.14
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.24
0.33
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.143/kWh
€0.135/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.039/kWh
€0.041/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
1,086 m
151 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
15 days/yr
35 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
72 days/yr
57 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
7 days/yr
5 days/yr