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2 regions side-by-side

EL513 · BG342

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NUTS-3 EL513 · Greece
Population
106,8382025
GDP
€1,280M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
10.6%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
67.6%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
2,547.9 km²
NUTS-3 BG342 · Bulgaria
Population
169,2992025
GDP
€1,137M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
4.6%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
75%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
3,539.4 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Сливен (Opportunity 21). Runner-up: Ροδόπη (20).

Strengths
Cost advantage (100) · Energy cost (65)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Connectivity (EU bottom 15%)
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%)
Industrial base (EU bottom 15%)
Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Cost advantage (88) · Energy cost (58)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Long-run slide: down 14 EU ranks in real GDP per head since 1995 (relative decline, not absolute)
Why you might not pick Сливен
Economic base (EU bottom 15%); Connectivity (EU bottom 15%); Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%); Industrial base (EU bottom 15%); Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%); Governance (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Economic base (EU pctl 0) — Ροδόπη may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Сливен leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
19.8
21.3
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
37.8
24.0
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
21.2
19.3
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
16.0
11.5
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
21.3
21.3
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
51.8
54.0

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
1.5% 5y
8.9% 5y
Population
0.4% 5y
0.6% 5y
Unemployment rate
9.2% 5y
0.4% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€11,982
€6,714
Population density
42 /km²
48 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 84 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€1,117M
€992M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€52M
€67M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€296M
€76M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€142M
€60M
GVA — construction (F)
€22M
€58M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€220M
€250M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€11,100
€6,200
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
14,600 PPS
10,800 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€11,800
€6,700
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€1,728M
€1,872M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€170M
€382M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€3,128M
€4,209M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€134M
€158M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€15M
€16M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€220M
€220M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€307M
€321M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€1,186M
€494M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€26,234
€18,238
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€320M
€212M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
52,850
77,620
Self-employed persons
28,100
34,710
Employment in manufacturing (C)
2,860
11,920
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
67.7%
72.5%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
23.8%
16.3%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
10.6%
4.6%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
49,000
74,200
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
5,755
6,813
Enterprise births
397
732
Enterprise deaths
263
1,002
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.1%
4.2%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.2%
0.3%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
1.9%
2.4%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.1%
0.4%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
28.0%
30.9%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
42.5%
33.5%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
4.6%
4.3%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
16.6%
21.4%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
6.3%
6.4%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
91.6%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
197,884
95,276
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
412 /1k
450 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
1,921 kt
1,526 kt
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
17 km/1000km²
11 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
76
103
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
0
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
69,994
99,394
Population aged 65+
25,165
38,157
Population aged under 15
11,679
31,748
Median age of population
45.8 yrs
44.6 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
36.0%
38.4%
Crude rate of total population change
10.1 /1k
-4.4 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
17.6 /1k
-1.6 /1k
Crude birth rate
5.8 /1k
12.5 /1k
Crude death rate
13.3 /1k
15.3 /1k
Live births
616
2,117
Deaths
1,409
2,590
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
52.6%
70.3%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.13
2.58
Population density (persons per km²)
42 /km²
48 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
79,198
143,707
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
31.6%
35.8%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
80.4 yrs
75.7 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
26.8%
27.0%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
435 /100k
797 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,154 /100k
2,099 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
245 /100k
215 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.9 /100k
0.6 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
5.7 /100k
11.8 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
24.6 /100k
74.7 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
219 /100k
421 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
73 /M
79 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.56
-0.07
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.42
0.25
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.49
-0.10
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.32
-0.14
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.24
0.33
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.143/kWh
€0.135/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.039/kWh
€0.041/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
99 m
190 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
68 days/yr
42 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
31 days/yr
52 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
13 days/yr
5 days/yr