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DEE09 · DEF08

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NUTS-3 DEE09 · Germany
Population
205,4842025
GDP
€6,396M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
4.9%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
79.2%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
2,099.9 km²
NUTS-3 DEF08 · Germany
Population
201,4722025
GDP
€7,109M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3.7%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
80.9%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
1,367.4 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Ostholstein (Opportunity 51). Runner-up: Harz (43). Contrarian pick: Harz — leads the set on Demographic outlook (EU pctl 99).

Strengths
Freight intensity (66) · Labour market (65)
Red flags
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%)
Industrial base (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Demographic outlook (99) · Air quality (82)
Red flags
Talent & skills (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Ostholstein
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%); Industrial base (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Demographic outlook (EU pctl 8) — Harz may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Ostholstein leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
43.3
50.7
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
38.8
56.3
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
50.9
61.8
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
81.7
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
53.0
55.3
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
14.0
35.5
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
23.2
44.8

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
0.5% 5y
1.0% 5y
Population
0.7% 5y
0.1% 5y
Unemployment rate
6.4% 5y
3.0% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€31,125
€35,284
Population density
98 /km²
147 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 85 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€5,842M
€6,493M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€177M
€118M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€1,556M
€984M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€1,241M
€541M
GVA — construction (F)
€426M
€332M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€985M
€1,386M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€24,800
€28,800
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
27,400 PPS
31,500 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€30,800
€35,300
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€15,488M
€27,063M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€2,294M
€2,460M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€40,875M
€61,661M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€1,003M
€1,646M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€1,696M
€2,028M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€5,121M
€5,888M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€75,258
€80,426
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€1,286M
€1,597M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
89,500
94,790
Self-employed persons
7,670
11,240
Employment in manufacturing (C)
17,310
8,120
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
78.8%
80.3%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
6.7%
6.0%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
4.9%
3.6%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
95,800
100,600
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
6,511
9,114
Enterprise births
387
676
Enterprise deaths
487
809
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.1%
4.6%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.4%
1.5%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.4%
4.0%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.8%
0.8%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
25.4%
31.8%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
28.9%
32.4%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
7.4%
9.2%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
16.9%
21.5%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
6.5%
8.6%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
2,464,529
10,606,972
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
573 /1k
593 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
8,764 kt
7,272 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
1,592
1,689
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
26 km/1000km²
35 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
775
838
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
94
75
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
119,313
119,808
Population aged 65+
63,047
58,331
Population aged under 15
23,124
23,333
Median age of population
53.7 yrs
53.0 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
52.8%
48.7%
Crude rate of total population change
-8.0 /1k
-0.3 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
5.1 /1k
9.5 /1k
Crude birth rate
5.0 /1k
5.9 /1k
Crude death rate
18.1 /1k
15.7 /1k
Live births
1,041
1,193
Deaths
3,740
3,173
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
72.2%
68.2%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.27
1.28
Population density (persons per km²)
98 /km²
148 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
277,639
157,832
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
24.1%
20.9%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
79.5 yrs
80.8 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
21.3%
16.8%
Health
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,223 /100k
1,015 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
276 /100k
251 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.0 /100k
0.0 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
32.4 /100k
23.3 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
346 /100k
346 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
1,164 /100k
1,223 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
52 /M
29 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.78
1.78
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.56
1.56
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.58
1.58
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.82
1.82
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.53
0.53
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.161/kWh
€0.161/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.055/kWh
€0.055/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
219 m
42 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
5 days/yr
2 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
60 days/yr
51 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
3 days/yr
2 days/yr