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DE947 · DE40A

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NUTS-3 DE947 · Germany
Population
188,8162025
GDP
€6,582M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
2.9%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
83.3%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
1,278.6 km²
NUTS-3 DE40A · Germany
Population
217,6902025
GDP
€6,777M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3.8%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
81.6%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
1,804.9 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Aurich (Opportunity 50). Runner-up: Oberhavel (48). Contrarian pick: Oberhavel — leads the set on Air quality (EU pctl 80).

Strengths
Labour market (82) · Air quality (67)
Red flags
Industrial base (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Air quality (80) · Labour market (70)
No red flags
Why you might not pick Aurich
Industrial base (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Industrial base (EU pctl 14) — Oberhavel may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: LogisticsOberhavel · ManufacturingOberhavel · OfficeAurich · ResidentialAurich.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
50.4
48.4
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
66.3
53.5
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
54.6
54.8
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
67.0
80.0
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
57.3
53.7
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
34.0
27.0
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
55.8
38.8

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
1.3% 5y
1.3% 5y
Population
0.1% 5y
0.4% 5y
Unemployment rate
7.6% 5y
2.2% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€34,860
€31,132
Population density
148 /km²
121 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 85 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€6,012M
€6,190M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€255M
€70M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€962M
€1,495M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€500M
€1,227M
GVA — construction (F)
€418M
€420M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€1,213M
€1,193M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€27,000
€26,000
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
31,100 PPS
27,800 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€34,900
€31,200
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€31,047M
€23,042M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€2,687M
€2,607M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€59,034M
€47,281M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€1,635M
€1,452M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€1,528M
€1,559M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€5,478M
€5,435M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€80,049
€89,998
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€1,772M
€1,659M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
87,020
79,490
Self-employed persons
8,170
9,290
Employment in manufacturing (C)
8,430
11,650
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
81.8%
80.0%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
5.6%
7.3%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
2.9%
3.8%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
100,600
110,900
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
6,627
7,531
Enterprise births
516
594
Enterprise deaths
509
704
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.8%
3.4%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
0.8%
1.5%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.2%
4.1%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.6%
0.8%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
30.8%
32.2%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
38.2%
31.8%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
8.4%
6.4%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
20.9%
21.9%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
7.5%
7.6%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
3,987,879
509,600
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
623 /1k
584 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
3,137 kt
7,042 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
1,572
1,216
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
833
559
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
28 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
68
65
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
116,315
134,208
Population aged 65+
47,461
54,163
Population aged under 15
25,040
29,319
Median age of population
49.4 yrs
49.6 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
40.8%
40.4%
Crude rate of total population change
-0.8 /1k
1.8 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
5.9 /1k
8.4 /1k
Crude birth rate
7.7 /1k
5.8 /1k
Crude death rate
14.4 /1k
12.4 /1k
Live births
1,458
1,265
Deaths
2,718
2,695
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
62.3%
62.2%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.50
1.31
Population density (persons per km²)
148 /km²
123 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
172,871
202,585
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
26.3%
19.6%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
80.6 yrs
81.0 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
20.8%
14.7%
Health
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,034 /100k
1,113 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
236 /100k
245 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
1.6 /100k
0.9 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
34.4 /100k
33.6 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
203 /100k
273 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
1,004 /100k
700 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
54 /M
45 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.78
1.78
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.56
1.56
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.58
1.58
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.82
1.82
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.53
0.53
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.161/kWh
€0.161/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.055/kWh
€0.055/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
3 m
90 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
2 days/yr
7 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
38 days/yr
62 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
2 days/yr
2 days/yr