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DE933 · DEA29

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NUTS-3 DE933 · Germany
Population
265,8642025
GDP
€7,998M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3.3%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
81.7%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
1,251.8 km²
NUTS-3 DEA29 · Germany
Population
263,6812025
GDP
€8,373M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3.9%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
79.8%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
622.4 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Heinsberg (Opportunity 67). Runner-up: Harburg (59). Contrarian pick: Harburg — leads the set on Labour market (EU pctl 72).

Strengths
Connectivity (83) · Resilience (75)
No red flags
Strengths
Resilience (72) · Labour market (72)
Red flags
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%)
Industrial base (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Heinsberg
Its weakest dimension is Demographic outlook (EU pctl 24) — Harburg may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Heinsberg leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
59.4
66.9
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
72.3
75.3
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
51.7
60.7
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
71.7
83.0
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
30.8
70.3
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
65.8
57.0

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
0.5% 5y
0.6% 5y
Population
0.9% 5y
0.6% 5y
Unemployment rate
0.6% 5y
4.0% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€30,082
€31,753
Population density
212 /km²
424 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 81 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€7,305M
€7,648M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€142M
€146M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€685M
€1,551M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€506M
€1,215M
GVA — construction (F)
€691M
€648M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€2,187M
€1,421M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€28,400
€28,000
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
27,000 PPS
28,500 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€30,300
€32,000
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€16,211M
€34,670M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€1,023M
€6,008M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€31,011M
€125,036M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€1,992M
€1,925M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€1,608M
€1,956M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€6,744M
€7,154M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€81,587
€79,473
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€2,099M
€1,278M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
104,890
111,420
Self-employed persons
13,630
10,560
Employment in manufacturing (C)
7,470
16,860
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
80.2%
78.8%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
6.8%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
3.3%
3.9%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
134,700
136,000
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
10,445
9,669
Enterprise births
937
794
Enterprise deaths
943
864
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.8%
3.7%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.0%
4.0%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.5%
6.3%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.5%
2.4%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
31.6%
38.8%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
30.9%
46.1%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
8.3%
11.3%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
21.1%
27.8%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
8.4%
10.5%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
751,893
259,236
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
653 /1k
585 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
8,694 kt
7,905 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
1,785
1,968
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
671
746
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
36
35
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
3
5
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
166,299
166,095
Population aged 65+
61,436
60,073
Population aged under 15
38,129
37,513
Median age of population
47.4 yrs
46.6 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
36.9%
36.2%
Crude rate of total population change
4.1 /1k
5.8 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
7.6 /1k
10.2 /1k
Crude birth rate
7.9 /1k
8.1 /1k
Crude death rate
11.4 /1k
12.4 /1k
Live births
2,102
2,117
Deaths
3,028
3,257
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
59.9%
58.8%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.53
1.45
Population density (persons per km²)
214 /km²
420 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
220,668
250,528
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
20.1%
23.7%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
80.7 yrs
81.3 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
14.4%
17.0%
Health
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,033 /100k
1,020 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
242 /100k
240 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
1.5 /100k
1.5 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
42.7 /100k
23.3 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
297 /100k
225 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
973 /100k
980 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
41 /M
27 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.78
1.78
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.56
1.56
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.58
1.58
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.82
1.82
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.53
0.53
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.161/kWh
€0.161/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.055/kWh
€0.055/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
47 m
48 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
5 days/yr
9 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
48 days/yr
36 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
3 days/yr
2 days/yr