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DE804 · DE402

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NUTS-3 DE804 · Germany
Population
98,3082025
GDP
€4,938M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3.5%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
80.3%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
130.9 km²
NUTS-3 DE402 · Germany
Population
95,1232025
GDP
€4,430M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3.8%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
81.6%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
165.7 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Schwerin, Kreisfreie Stadt (Opportunity 47). Runner-up: Cottbus, Kreisfreie Stadt (40). Contrarian pick: Cottbus, Kreisfreie Stadt — leads the set on Labour market (EU pctl 70).

Strengths
Economic base (83) · Demographic outlook (72)
Red flags
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%)
Industrial base (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Economic base (77) · Labour market (70)
Red flags
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%)
Industrial base (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Schwerin, Kreisfreie Stadt
Freight intensity (EU bottom 15%); Industrial base (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Freight intensity (EU pctl 8) — Cottbus, Kreisfreie Stadt may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Schwerin, Kreisfreie Stadt leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
46.6
40.4
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
46.8
33.0
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
46.7
52.8
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
39.0
38.3
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
40.7
45.3
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
22.3
27.0
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
57.6
32.6

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
0.4% 5y
0.8% 5y
Population
0.5% 5y
0.9% 5y
Unemployment rate
8.5% 5y
6.1% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€50,234
€46,574
Population density
751 /km²
574 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 85 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€4,511M
€4,047M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€2M
€4M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€530M
€436M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€296M
€114M
GVA — construction (F)
€203M
€174M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€822M
€690M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€25,400
€26,000
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
45,000 PPS
41,800 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€50,500
€46,900
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€13,049M
€23,042M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€885M
€2,607M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€30,582M
€47,281M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€979M
€920M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€1,975M
€1,822M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€4,134M
€3,553M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€80,868
€76,128
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€1,109M
€1,085M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
66,410
61,430
Self-employed persons
4,080
4,960
Employment in manufacturing (C)
4,410
2,560
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
78.9%
80.0%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
9.3%
7.3%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
3.6%
3.8%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
47,800
47,200
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
3,121
3,210
Enterprise births
212
179
Enterprise deaths
229
231
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.6%
3.7%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.4%
1.5%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
2.8%
4.1%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.8%
0.8%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
28.3%
32.2%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
29.4%
31.8%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
7.6%
6.4%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
19.2%
21.9%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
7.4%
7.6%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
427,690
293,826
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
564 /1k
584 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
969 kt
2,112 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
419
515
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
26 km/1000km²
28 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
426
541
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
95
84
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
2
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
58,796
57,067
Population aged 65+
27,009
26,138
Population aged under 15
12,503
11,918
Median age of population
47.8 yrs
48.1 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
45.9%
45.8%
Crude rate of total population change
4.7 /1k
3.6 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
14.0 /1k
12.3 /1k
Crude birth rate
6.7 /1k
6.6 /1k
Crude death rate
16.1 /1k
15.3 /1k
Live births
662
627
Deaths
1,575
1,450
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
67.2%
66.7%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.28
1.27
Population density (persons per km²)
1,032 /km²
576 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
93,646
69,249
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
21.5%
19.6%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
79.7 yrs
81.0 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
16.8%
14.7%
Health
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,126 /100k
1,113 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
267 /100k
245 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.0 /100k
0.0 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
102 /100k
136 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
502 /100k
1,011 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
2,094 /100k
1,735 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
59 /M
45 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.78
1.78
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.56
1.56
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.58
1.58
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.82
1.82
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.53
0.53
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.161/kWh
€0.161/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.055/kWh
€0.055/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
39 m
69 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
5 days/yr
12 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
56 days/yr
59 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
2 days/yr
2 days/yr