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DE269 · DE938

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NUTS-3 DE269 · Germany
Population
127,5472025
GDP
€5,699M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
83.4%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
709.3 km²
NUTS-3 DE938 · Germany
Population
141,3212025
GDP
€6,057M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3.3%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
81.7%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
1,876.3 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Miltenberg (Opportunity 57). Runner-up: Heidekreis (53). Contrarian pick: Heidekreis — leads the set on Demographic outlook (EU pctl 96).

Strengths
Industrial base (88) · Labour market (84)
Red flags
Cost advantage (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Demographic outlook (96) · Freight intensity (84)
No red flags
Why you might not pick Miltenberg
Cost advantage (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Cost advantage (EU pctl 13) — Heidekreis may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: LogisticsHeidekreis · ManufacturingMiltenberg · OfficeMiltenberg · ResidentialHeidekreis.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
57.2
52.9
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
47.5
62.0
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
69.0
57.9
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
63.5
70.7
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
64.0
67.7
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
46.0
30.8
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
41.6
47.6

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
1.5% 5y
0.4% 5y
Population
0.2% 5y
0.1% 5y
Unemployment rate
3.0% 5y
4.8% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€44,678
€42,857
Population density
180 /km²
75 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 83 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€5,205M
€5,532M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€47M
€189M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€1,694M
€906M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€1,567M
€662M
GVA — construction (F)
€350M
€377M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€747M
€1,363M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€29,800
€28,400
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
40,000 PPS
37,800 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€44,900
€42,400
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€12,277M
€16,211M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€2,933M
€1,023M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€34,752M
€31,011M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€1,483M
€946M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€885M
€1,752M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€4,901M
€5,107M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€97,568
€86,228
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€1,066M
€1,589M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
61,720
75,160
Self-employed persons
5,950
7,220
Employment in manufacturing (C)
18,850
9,890
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
82.6%
80.2%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
3.0%
3.2%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
72,500
71,300
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
5,372
4,715
Enterprise births
389
387
Enterprise deaths
419
395
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.8%
3.7%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
2.0%
1.0%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.9%
3.5%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.3%
0.5%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
34.3%
31.6%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
42.5%
30.9%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
8.8%
8.3%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
22.4%
21.1%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
8.8%
8.4%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
262,989
2,965,562
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
665 /1k
653 /1k
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
656
1,091
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
3,477 kt
6,803 kt
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
514
772
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
57
50
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
3
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
79,887
88,021
Population aged 65+
29,673
33,668
Population aged under 15
17,987
19,632
Median age of population
47.5 yrs
47.6 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
37.1%
38.2%
Crude rate of total population change
2.7 /1k
-2.2 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
6.5 /1k
3.4 /1k
Crude birth rate
7.9 /1k
8.4 /1k
Crude death rate
11.7 /1k
14.0 /1k
Live births
1,004
1,185
Deaths
1,491
1,979
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
59.7%
60.6%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.48
1.57
Population density (persons per km²)
180 /km²
75 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
126,651
161,254
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
16.5%
20.1%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
82.0 yrs
80.7 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
13.2%
14.4%
Health
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,004 /100k
1,033 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
208 /100k
242 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.0 /100k
1.4 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
9.4 /100k
39.5 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
94.3 /100k
461 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
379 /100k
1,143 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
39 /M
41 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.78
1.78
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.56
1.56
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.58
1.58
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.82
1.82
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.53
0.53
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.161/kWh
€0.161/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.055/kWh
€0.055/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
259 m
51 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
9 days/yr
6 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
63 days/yr
49 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
3 days/yr
3 days/yr