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DE264 · DE259

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NUTS-3 DE264 · Germany
Population
170,9452025
GDP
€7,703M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
83.4%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
700.1 km²
NUTS-3 DE259 · Germany
Population
168,8132025
GDP
€6,692M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3.8%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
83.7%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
798.5 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Aschaffenburg, Landkreis (Opportunity 59). Runner-up: Nürnberger Land (55). Contrarian pick: Nürnberger Land — leads the set on Industrial base (EU pctl 87).

Strengths
Labour market (84) · Industrial base (82)
Red flags
Cost advantage (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Industrial base (87) · Labour market (86)
Red flags
Cost advantage (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Aschaffenburg, Landkreis
Cost advantage (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Cost advantage (EU pctl 13) — Nürnberger Land may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: LogisticsNürnberger Land · ManufacturingNürnberger Land · OfficeNürnberger Land · ResidentialAschaffenburg, Landkreis.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
59.1
54.8
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
43.5
51.5
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
64.2
66.2
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
65.0
78.3
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
46.0
62.8
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
40.2
41.0

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
2.0% 5y
1.0% 5y
Population
0.4% 5y
0.2% 5y
Unemployment rate
1.9% 5y
11.6% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€45,064
€39,642
Population density
244 /km²
211 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 80 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€7,036M
€6,113M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€51M
€34M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€2,078M
€1,911M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€1,906M
€1,803M
GVA — construction (F)
€407M
€339M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€1,822M
€1,098M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€29,800
€30,000
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
40,200 PPS
35,300 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€45,100
€39,600
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€12,277M
€21,016M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€2,933M
€3,272M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€34,752M
€54,755M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€1,796M
€1,503M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€882M
€1,227M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€6,625M
€5,798M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€105,399
€90,681
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€1,441M
€1,440M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
77,240
77,580
Self-employed persons
7,870
7,640
Employment in manufacturing (C)
19,070
20,250
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
82.6%
82.9%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
3.0%
3.8%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
96,800
89,200
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
7,425
6,940
Enterprise births
573
531
Enterprise deaths
636
554
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.5%
3.0%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
2.0%
2.5%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.9%
6.8%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.3%
1.7%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
34.3%
38.6%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
42.5%
45.4%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
8.8%
9.3%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
22.4%
25.8%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
8.8%
11.0%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
443,055
268,971
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
665 /1k
594 /1k
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
852
1,218
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
4,840 kt
7,891 kt
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
498
722
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
53
21
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
106,674
104,506
Population aged 65+
40,390
40,154
Population aged under 15
23,881
24,153
Median age of population
48.0 yrs
47.7 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
37.9%
38.4%
Crude rate of total population change
0.5 /1k
-2.2 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
4.4 /1k
2.4 /1k
Crude birth rate
7.6 /1k
7.6 /1k
Crude death rate
11.5 /1k
12.2 /1k
Live births
1,302
1,285
Deaths
1,960
2,069
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
60.2%
61.5%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.42
1.40
Population density (persons per km²)
246 /km²
212 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
163,908
155,228
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
16.5%
18.6%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
82.0 yrs
81.4 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
13.2%
13.7%
Health
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,004 /100k
1,065 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
208 /100k
225 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
2.3 /100k
1.2 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
8.2 /100k
14.2 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
129 /100k
107 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
382 /100k
443 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
39 /M
33 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.78
1.78
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.56
1.56
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.58
1.58
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.82
1.82
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.53
0.53
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.161/kWh
€0.161/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.055/kWh
€0.055/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
391 m
362 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
7 days/yr
8 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
66 days/yr
69 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
7 days/yr
5 days/yr