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DE254 · DE501

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NUTS-3 DE254 · Germany
Population
529,5082025
GDP
€38,630M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3.8%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
83.7%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
187.9 km²
NUTS-3 DE501 · Germany
Population
586,2712025
GDP
€35,482M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
5.1%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
74.7%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
322.2 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Nürnberg, Kreisfreie Stadt (Opportunity 68). Runner-up: Bremen, Kreisfreie Stadt (61). Contrarian pick: Bremen, Kreisfreie Stadt — leads the set on Demographic outlook (EU pctl 77).

Strengths
Economic base (96) · Labour market (86)
Red flags
Cost advantage (EU bottom 15%)
Strengths
Economic base (92) · Demographic outlook (77)
No red flags
Why you might not pick Nürnberg, Kreisfreie Stadt
Cost advantage (EU bottom 15%). Its weakest dimension is Cost advantage (EU pctl 12) — Bremen, Kreisfreie Stadt may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: LogisticsBremen, Kreisfreie Stadt · ManufacturingBremen, Kreisfreie Stadt · OfficeNürnberg, Kreisfreie Stadt · ResidentialNürnberg, Kreisfreie Stadt.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
67.7
60.6
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
59.8
52.5
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
57.4
44.9
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
30.3
42.0
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
71.7
67.3
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
62.8
57.0
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
48.4
37.6

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
1.1% 5y
1.5% 5y
Population
0.4% 5y
0.7% 5y
Unemployment rate
4.2% 5y
14.4% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€72,955
€60,522
Population density
2,818 /km²
1,819 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 84 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€35,285M
€32,410M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€37M
€7M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€5,932M
€8,036M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€5,105M
€7,020M
GVA — construction (F)
€1,273M
€1,036M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€9,732M
€8,685M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€30,000
€25,000
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
65,500 PPS
54,400 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€73,600
€61,100
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€21,016M
€5,830M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€3,272M
€1,216M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€54,755M
€22,387M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€10,823M
€7,560M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€7,487M
€7,086M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€33,468M
€30,569M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€99,819
€97,625
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€8,312M
€5,179M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
406,850
382,500
Self-employed persons
25,650
21,570
Employment in manufacturing (C)
45,670
50,800
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
82.9%
75.4%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
3.8%
5.1%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
300,200
298,300
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
20,954
19,642
Enterprise births
1,867
1,890
Enterprise deaths
1,911
1,880
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.2%
6.3%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
2.5%
2.8%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
6.8%
5.3%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.7%
2.2%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
38.6%
32.3%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
45.4%
39.9%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
9.3%
11.0%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
25.8%
23.9%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
11.0%
9.9%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
3,855,241
2,385,851
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
594 /1k
427 /1k
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
1,827
1,495
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
14,693 kt
24,772 kt
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
345
255
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
169 km/1000km²
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
7
8
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
3
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
351,658
381,409
Population aged 65+
107,104
120,883
Population aged under 15
70,746
83,979
Median age of population
42.5 yrs
42.1 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
30.5%
31.7%
Crude rate of total population change
5.5 /1k
3.3 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
7.5 /1k
6.1 /1k
Crude birth rate
9.0 /1k
8.9 /1k
Crude death rate
11.0 /1k
11.7 /1k
Live births
4,753
5,185
Deaths
5,834
6,845
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
50.6%
53.7%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.29
1.32
Population density (persons per km²)
2,854 /km²
1,888 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
533,411
640,815
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
18.6%
35.4%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
81.4 yrs
79.7 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
13.7%
27.5%
Health
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,065 /100k
1,054 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
225 /100k
253 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.6 /100k
1.4 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
59.6 /100k
191 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
413 /100k
1,236 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
1,701 /100k
3,985 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
33 /M
17 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.78
1.78
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.56
1.56
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.58
1.58
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.82
1.82
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.53
0.53
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.161/kWh
€0.161/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.055/kWh
€0.055/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
312 m
3 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
11 days/yr
5 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
75 days/yr
44 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
3 days/yr
3 days/yr