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DE241 · DEB21

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NUTS-3 DE241 · Germany
Population
77,1502025
GDP
€5,849M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
3.2%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
83.8%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
54.5 km²
NUTS-3 DEB21 · Germany
Population
104,3422025
GDP
€5,906M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
2%2019
Employment· NUTS-2 source
83%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
116.7 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Trier, Kreisfreie Stadt (Opportunity 52). Runner-up: Bamberg, Kreisfreie Stadt (47). Contrarian pick: Bamberg, Kreisfreie Stadt — leads the set on Economic base (EU pctl 96).

Strengths
Demographic outlook (100) · Economic base (90)
Red flags
Flood: 28% of population in the 100-year floodplain
Strengths
Economic base (96) · Labour market (88)
Red flags
Flood: 22% of population in the 100-year floodplain
Why you might not pick Trier, Kreisfreie Stadt
Flood: 28% of population in the 100-year floodplain. Its weakest dimension is Cost advantage (EU pctl 28) — Bamberg, Kreisfreie Stadt may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: LogisticsTrier, Kreisfreie Stadt · ManufacturingBamberg, Kreisfreie Stadt · OfficeTrier, Kreisfreie Stadt · ResidentialTrier, Kreisfreie Stadt.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics
  • Flood defences, return-period design and insurance for flagged regions

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
46.8
52.3
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
48.0
45.3
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
61.4
60.2
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
54.0
53.7
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
61.7
69.3
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
31.0
30.8
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
19.8
35.8

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
0.9% 5y
0.2% 5y
Population
0.1% 5y
1.3% 5y
Unemployment rate
1.2% 5y
12.9% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€75,817
€56,603
Population density
1,415 /km²
894 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 83 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€5,343M
€5,395M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€3M
€9M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€1,380M
€988M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€1,228M
€761M
GVA — construction (F)
€141M
€181M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€1,039M
€1,136M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€29,100
€27,600
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
69,700 PPS
50,800 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€78,300
€57,000
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€14,094M
€5,179M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€1,882M
€716M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€27,035M
€10,498M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€1,107M
€1,029M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€1,673M
€2,051M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€4,986M
€4,980M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€79,937
€80,341
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€1,657M
€1,529M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
77,120
77,180
Self-employed persons
4,410
5,050
Employment in manufacturing (C)
15,620
6,990
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
82.6%
82.2%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
3.1%
2.6%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
45,500
57,900
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
3,360
3,935
Enterprise births
259
300
Enterprise deaths
233
320
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.7%
3.8%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
2.8%
3.2%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
3.5%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.3%
0.4%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
31.8%
32.2%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
34.1%
35.2%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
6.8%
9.2%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
21.7%
21.2%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
7.9%
6.7%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
842,297
852,807
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
671 /1k
667 /1k
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
351
550
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
2,070 kt
2,266 kt
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
455
527
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
46
36
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
2
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
51,865
70,830
Population aged 65+
15,595
20,435
Population aged under 15
9,690
13,077
Median age of population
41.2 yrs
40.8 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
30.1%
28.9%
Crude rate of total population change
27.1 /1k
3.4 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
29.2 /1k
6.5 /1k
Crude birth rate
9.0 /1k
8.3 /1k
Crude death rate
11.0 /1k
11.5 /1k
Live births
682
869
Deaths
839
1,193
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
48.8%
47.3%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.21
1.12
Population density (persons per km²)
1,384 /km²
914 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
74,681
182,388
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
17.3%
25.8%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
80.8 yrs
80.8 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
13.7%
21.4%
Health
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,117 /100k
986 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
230 /100k
246 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.0 /100k
2.9 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
90.6 /100k
92.3 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
389 /100k
427 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
2,568 /100k
2,520 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
37 /M
36 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.78
1.78
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.56
1.56
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.58
1.58
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.82
1.82
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.53
0.53
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.161/kWh
€0.161/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.055/kWh
€0.055/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
243 m
133 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
12 days/yr
11 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
70 days/yr
44 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
2 days/yr
3 days/yr