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DE238 · DE239

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NUTS-3 DE238 · Germany
Population
196,2132025
GDP
€6,503M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
2.8%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
84%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
1,390.8 km²
NUTS-3 DE239 · Germany
Population
149,3122025
GDP
€6,923M2023
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
2.8%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
84%2025
Active firms· FR-only
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
Area
1,459.5 km²

Decision brief

Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity

Best overall fit: Regensburg, Landkreis (Opportunity 55). Runner-up: Schwandorf (54). Contrarian pick: Schwandorf — leads the set on Freight intensity (EU pctl 96).

Strengths
Labour market (90) · Freight intensity (82)
No red flags
Strengths
Freight intensity (96) · Industrial base (91)
No red flags
Why you might not pick Regensburg, Landkreis
Its weakest dimension is Cost advantage (EU pctl 16) — Schwandorf may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
Regensburg, Landkreis leads under all four archetype mandates — the recommendation is weight-stable.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
  • Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
  • Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
  • Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
  • Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics

This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.

Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores

Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
55.4
54.3
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
64.8
57.0
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
68.6
69.0
Clean AirPM2.5 / PM10 / NO₂ inverted
55.0
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
60.0
56.7
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
37.3
37.3
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
46.0
42.0

Trajectories · 2012–latest

Real GDP (2020 prices)
1.7% 5y
1.2% 5y
Population
0.2% 5y
0.2% 5y
Unemployment rate
5.2% 5y
0.0% 5y

Derived comparisons

GDP per capita
€33,141
€46,368
Population density
141 /km²
102 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only

All indicators · 82 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)

Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€5,940M
€6,324M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€141M
€132M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€1,564M
€2,374M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€1,398M
€2,057M
GVA — construction (F)
€539M
€357M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€1,170M
€963M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€29,200
€29,200
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
30,100 PPS
41,600 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€33,700
€46,700
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€14,986M
€14,986M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€3,348M
€3,348M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€31,166M
€31,166M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€1,620M
€1,306M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€906M
€1,192M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€5,551M
€5,910M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€92,437
€89,390
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€1,641M
€1,747M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
73,310
80,710
Self-employed persons
8,330
7,090
Employment in manufacturing (C)
16,210
22,980
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
83.0%
83.0%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
2.7%
2.7%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
110,100
84,500
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
7,051
5,436
Enterprise births
593
394
Enterprise deaths
545
398
3-year enterprise survival rate
3.4%
3.4%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
1.8%
1.8%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
5.9%
5.9%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
1.1%
1.1%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
32.7%
32.7%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
40.3%
40.3%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
7.2%
7.2%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
21.6%
21.6%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
8.3%
8.3%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
316,041
431,837
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
670 /1k
670 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
8,986 kt
9,663 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
1,881
1,311
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
959
878
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
82
88
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
1
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
124,234
95,309
Population aged 65+
42,488
33,058
Population aged under 15
29,491
20,945
Median age of population
45.9 yrs
46.2 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
34.2%
34.7%
Crude rate of total population change
12.4 /1k
4.1 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
13.4 /1k
7.5 /1k
Crude birth rate
8.9 /1k
8.5 /1k
Crude death rate
10.0 /1k
11.9 /1k
Live births
1,737
1,262
Deaths
1,947
1,768
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
57.9%
56.7%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.61
1.48
Population density (persons per km²)
141 /km²
103 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
190,596
147,726
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
15.8%
15.8%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
81.2 yrs
81.2 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
14.6%
14.6%
Health
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
1,096 /100k
1,096 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
234 /100k
234 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
0.0 /100k
0.0 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
4.6 /100k
10.1 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
91.3 /100k
80.7 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
393 /100k
518 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
38 /M
38 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.78
1.78
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.56
1.56
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.58
1.58
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
1.82
1.82
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.53
0.53
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.161/kWh
€0.161/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.055/kWh
€0.055/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
324 m
472 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
9 days/yr
8 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
84 days/yr
86 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
2 days/yr
3 days/yr