NUTS-3 BG311 · Bulgaria
Population
70,5422025
GDP
€589M2024
Unemployment· NUTS-2 source
7.3%2025
Employment· NUTS-2 source
71.6%2025
Active firms· FR-only
—
Cadastral parcels· FR-only
—
Area
3,036 km²
TerraSight · Compare
2 regions side-by-side
BG311 · BG424
Decision brief
Download brief (PDF)mandate-neutral · ranked by overall opportunity
Best overall fit: Видин (Opportunity 23). Runner-up: Смолян (22). Contrarian pick: Смолян — leads the set on Industrial base (EU pctl 71).
#1Видин
Strengths
Cost advantage (100) · Growth momentum (75)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%)
Labour market (EU bottom 15%)
Connectivity (EU bottom 15%)
Industrial base (EU bottom 15%)
Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Quality of life (EU bottom 15%)
Flood: 34% of population in the 100-year floodplain
#2Смолян
Strengths
Cost advantage (99) · Industrial base (71)
Red flags
Economic base (EU bottom 15%)
Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%)
Governance (EU bottom 15%)
Why you might not pick Видин
Economic base (EU bottom 15%); Demographic outlook (EU bottom 15%); Labour market (EU bottom 15%); Connectivity (EU bottom 15%); Industrial base (EU bottom 15%); Digital readiness (EU bottom 15%); Governance (EU bottom 15%); Quality of life (EU bottom 15%); Flood: 34% of population in the 100-year floodplain. Its weakest dimension is Governance (EU pctl 0) — Смолян may suit a mandate that weights that higher.
How robust is this recommendation?
The leader depends on the mandate: Logistics → Видин · Manufacturing → Смолян · Office → Смолян · Residential → Смолян.
Phase-2 diligence checklist
- Site-level grid connection capacity and power pricing (beyond country-grain energy data)
- Local incentives, tax regimes and permitting timelines
- Workforce depth for your specific roles (the talent pillar is a proxy)
- Real-estate availability, rents and land — public pan-EU data stops at the Nordics
- Flood defences, return-period design and insurance for flagged regions
This is a mandate-neutral read. To weight the pillars to your thesis, run these regions through the Site Screener — it ranks all 1,211 regions under your weights and exports the full PDF. First-pass macro screening, not investment advice.
Composite intelligence · 0–100 EU-percentile scores
Opportunity Indexscale + growth + access + structure
23.3
21.9
Resilience Indexdiversification, stability, buffers
20.8
27.8
Quality of Lifeprosperity, health, safety, environment
10.3
31.6
Connectivitytransit + air + market access
13.3
29.5
Talent & Human Capitalskills, learning, knowledge workers
15.5
29.8
Growth Momentumrecent GDP / employment trajectory
74.8
45.8
Trajectories · 2012–latest
Real GDP (2020 prices)
1.1% 5y
3.1% 5y
Population
1.9% 5y
1.7% 5y
Unemployment rate
10.1% 5y
1.2% 5y
Derived comparisons
GDP per capita
€8,350
€9,614
Population density
23 /km²
28 /km²
Parcels per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
Firms per 1k pop
FR-only
FR-only
All indicators · 88 metrics (Eurostat, all-EU)
Economy
Gross value added, total (current prices)
€514M
€759M
GVA — agriculture, forestry & fishing (A)
€60M
€48M
GVA — industry (B–E)
€39M
€184M
GVA — manufacturing (C)
€26M
€171M
GVA — construction (F)
€13M
€52M
GVA — wholesale/retail, transport, ICT (G–J)
€99M
€141M
Net disposable household income per capita (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
€6,100
€6,700
GDP per capita in PPS (purchasing-power adjusted)
13,400 PPS
15,400 PPS
GDP per capita (current prices, EUR)
€8,300
€9,500
Gross fixed capital formation — investment (total economy) ·N2
€866M
€2,738M
Investment in manufacturing capex (GFCF, NACE C) ·N2
€154M
€682M
Compensation of employees (total wage bill) ·N2
€2,572M
€5,794M
GVA — real estate activities (L)
€102M
€101M
GVA — information & communication (J)
€5M
€3M
GVA — finance, real estate & professional (K–N)
€122M
€131M
GVA — public admin, health & education (O–U)
€181M
€203M
Real GDP (constant 2020 prices, incl. short-term forecast)
€392M
€733M
Labour productivity per person employed (EUR)
€26,734
€23,399
Gross fixed capital formation, NUTS-3 (ARDECO)
€99M
€225M
Labour market
Employment, total persons
28,410
51,330
Self-employed persons
8,940
14,390
Employment in manufacturing (C)
2,680
14,010
Activity rate, 15–64 (NUTS-2 source) ·N2
70.9%
69.9%
Youth unemployment rate (15–24) ·N2
23.1%
14.6%
Unemployment rate 15-74, NUTS-3 native (ARDECO)
7.4%
3.3%
Labour force aged 15+ (ARDECO)
29,800
39,200
Business demography
Active enterprises (business economy, all sizes)
2,663
5,121
Enterprise births
265
461
Enterprise deaths
380
666
3-year enterprise survival rate
4.6%
4.8%
Innovation & R&D
R&D expenditure as % of GDP ·N2
0.3%
0.4%
Employment in high-tech sectors (% of total) ·N2
1.8%
3.2%
R&D personnel (% of active population, FTE) ·N2
0.4%
0.5%
Education
Tertiary education attainment, age 25–64 ·N2
27.7%
29.3%
Tertiary attainment, age 25–34 (young talent pool) ·N2
30.5%
36.6%
Adult participation in learning, age 25–64 (last 4 weeks) ·N2
7.3%
6.8%
Knowledge workers — tertiary-educated & in science/tech (% of labour force) ·N2
18.7%
21.0%
Scientists & engineers (% of labour force) ·N2
5.5%
7.5%
Digital
Households with internet access ·N2
87.3%
92.3%
Tourism
Nights spent at tourist accommodation (total)
75,508
826,373
Mobility
Passenger cars per 1,000 inhabitants ·N2
472 /1k
457 /1k
Road freight loaded (annual, thousand tonnes)
1,897 kt
1,524 kt
Distinct public-transport stop locations within the region (GTFS feeds, deduplicated across overlapping feeds by coordinate). A measure of transit-network extent.
3
—
Motorway density (km per 1,000 km²) ·N2
1 km/1000km²
9 km/1000km²
Public-transport stops per 100,000 inhabitants — transit service density relative to population (GTFS feeds, coordinate-deduplicated).
4
—
Distance from the region centroid to the nearest major (large) airport, in km - air-connectivity accessibility. Lower is better.
85
54
Number of major (large) airports within 100 km of the region centroid - air-hub catchment richness.
1
2
Demography
Population aged 15–64 (working age)
40,332
54,031
Population aged 65+
22,145
27,182
Population aged under 15
8,065
9,321
Median age of population
53.2 yrs
53.5 yrs
Old-age dependency ratio (65+ / 15–64)
54.9%
50.3%
Crude rate of total population change
-17.3 /1k
-17.2 /1k
Crude rate of net migration plus adjustment
-0.1 /1k
-5.0 /1k
Crude birth rate
7.1 /1k
5.2 /1k
Crude death rate
24.3 /1k
17.5 /1k
Live births
507
479
Deaths
1,731
1,599
Total age-dependency ratio (young+old / 15-64)
74.9%
67.6%
Total fertility rate (births per woman)
1.91
1.52
Population density (persons per km²)
24 /km²
29 /km²
Projected population, 2030–2040 (EUROPOP2019 baseline)
29,414
28,999
Social
At risk of poverty or social exclusion (AROPE) ·N2
33.5%
34.4%
Life expectancy at birth ·N2
73.9 yrs
76.1 yrs
At-risk-of-poverty rate (regional) ·N2
25.3%
25.6%
Health
Hospital beds per 100k inhabitants ·N2
964 /100k
924 /100k
Mortality, all causes (age-standardised rate) ·N2
2,350 /100k
2,023 /100k
Cancer mortality (age-standardised rate) ·N2
248 /100k
240 /100k
Safety & crime
Intentional homicides per 100k inhabitants
2.8 /100k
2.2 /100k
Robberies per 100k inhabitants
15.3 /100k
3.3 /100k
Burglaries per 100k inhabitants
76.6 /100k
4.3 /100k
Thefts per 100k inhabitants
387 /100k
77.1 /100k
Road traffic deaths per million inhabitants ·N2
148 /M
80 /M
Governance & institutions
Government effectiveness, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
-0.07
-0.07
Regulatory quality, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
0.25
0.25
Rule of law, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
-0.10
-0.10
Control of corruption, WGI score -2.5..2.5 (country)
-0.14
-0.14
Political stability & absence of violence, WGI score (country)
0.33
0.33
Energy
Industrial electricity price, 2-20 GWh band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.135/kWh
€0.135/kWh
Industrial gas price, 10-100k GJ band, excl. taxes (national)
€0.041/kWh
€0.041/kWh
Climate
Elevation at region centroid (Copernicus DEM)
206 m
1,682 m
Hot days ≥30°C (avg per year)
38 days/yr
0 days/yr
Frost days ≤0°C (avg per year)
56 days/yr
155 days/yr
Heavy-precipitation days ≥20mm (avg per year)
5 days/yr
8 days/yr